Colts D/ST or Jaguars D/ST: Who Should You Start?
Preliminary board2026 Week 2 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Verdicts sharpen as practice reports land.
Start Jaguars D/ST over Colts D/ST in a narrow, opportunity-driven call
Jacksonville gets the nod because Denver offers the friendlier scoring environment and slightly better turnover outlook, while its overwhelming lineup support reinforces a close projection battle. Indianapolis has the better sack path against Kansas City, but a high opponent total makes those splash plays harder to convert into a useful fantasy day. Both defenses remain sits in isolation; between them, the Jaguars are the cleaner risk profile despite limited ceiling.
What flips it: A late move lifting Denver’s implied total toward Kansas City’s.
AI editor
Colts D/ST
3.73.73.7 Projected Points
Jaguars D/ST
4.34.34.3 Projected Points
Why Colts D/ST
SitSit — a bottom-tier defensive matchup this week (No. 24): Vegas has KC at 27 points, and 3.7 pts projected vs KC.
- Kansas City’s higher sack allowance gives Indianapolis a real splash-play route.
- The Colts’ risk is game script: a high Chiefs total can erase defensive gains.
Why Jaguars D/ST
SitSit — a bottom-tier defensive matchup this week (No. 22): DEN protects the ball (1.0 turnovers a game), and 4.3 pts projected vs DEN.
- Jacksonville benefits from Denver’s lower scoring expectation, making modest production more usable.
- The Jaguars’ heavy lineup support confirms the safer side of a narrow comparison.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Colts D/ST | Jaguars D/ST |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 3.73.73.7 | 4.34.34.3 |
| Projection rank | Proj.DST24 | Proj.DST22 |
| Started in | 1% of leagues | 65% of leagues |
| Opponent sacks allowed / game | 2.9(2025) | 1.8(2025) |
| Opponent turnovers / game | 0.9(2025) | 1.0(2025) |
| Opponent implied total | 27.0 | 23.0 |
| Home / away | Away | Away |
| Start/Sit record | — | 1–0 |
Recent form
Colts D/ST — last 1 week
| Week 1 | vs BAL | -5.0-5.0-5.0 |
Jaguars D/ST — last 1 week
| Week 1 | vs CLE | 14.014.014.0 |
Signal breakdown
- 3.7 vs 4.3 projected PPR pointsJaguars D/ST +
- Started rank 27 vs 9 (1% vs 65% of leagues)Jaguars D/ST +
- 2.9 sacks / 0.9 TO vs 1.8 sacks / 1.0 TO per game allowedColts D/ST +
- Opponent implied 27.0 vs 23.0 pointsJaguars D/ST +
- Away vs Awayeven
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