Jaguars D/ST or Raiders D/ST: Who Should You Start?

Preliminary board

2026 Week 2 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Verdicts sharpen as practice reports land.

Jaguars D/ST edges Vegas on the safer game environment

Jaguars D/ST gets the narrow edge because Denver’s lower implied scoring environment pairs with far stronger lineup confidence in Jacksonville, while the projection gap itself is negligible. The Raiders have the better pressure-and-giveaway path, but facing a higher-scoring Chargers offense makes that route less forgiving if the sacks do not arrive. Both remain sits per the board; Jacksonville is the preferred option only if you must choose, with Denver’s ball security the cleanest reason to keep expectations modest. The risk is that Vegas converts its pressure edge into a splash-play turnover, a path the Jaguars lack to the same degree.

What flips it: A meaningful late downgrade to Denver’s offensive outlook.

AI editor

Jaguars D/ST

D/STJAXvs DEN

Projected Points

Sit

Raiders D/ST

D/STLVvs LAC

Projected Points

Sit
JAX@
DENSun, Sep 20, 4:05 PM ETView the game →
LV@
LACSun, Sep 20, 4:05 PM ETView the game →

Why Jaguars D/ST

Sit

Sit — a bottom-tier defensive matchup this week (No. 22): DEN protects the ball (1.0 turnovers a game), and 4.3 pts projected vs DEN.

  • The lower Denver scoring environment protects Jacksonville from a shootout-driven collapse.
  • Its massive lineup-share edge is the model’s tiebreaker when the on-field signals are mixed.

Why Raiders D/ST

Sit

Sit — a bottom-tier defensive matchup this week (No. 23): LAC gives up 3.8 sacks and 1.2 turnovers a game, and Vegas has them at 25.5 points.

  • A pressure-led ceiling is available, but it depends on disrupting an offense expected to score freely.
  • Vegas is the better contrarian swing only if sacks turn into short fields or turnovers.

Head-to-head stats

MetricJaguars D/STRaiders D/ST
Projected points
Projection rankProj.DST22Proj.DST23
Started in65% of leagues2% of leagues
Opponent sacks allowed / game1.8(2025)3.8(2025)
Opponent turnovers / game1.0(2025)1.2(2025)
Opponent implied total23.025.5
Home / awayAwayAway
Start/Sit record1–00–0+1 toss-up

Recent form

Jaguars D/ST — last 1 week

Week 1vs CLE

Raiders D/ST — last 1 week

Week 1vs MIA

Signal breakdown

  • 4.3 vs 3.9 projected PPR pointsJaguars D/ST +
  • Started rank 9 vs 23 (65% vs 2% of leagues)Jaguars D/ST +
  • 1.8 sacks / 1.0 TO vs 3.8 sacks / 1.2 TO per game allowedRaiders D/ST +
  • Opponent implied 23.0 vs 25.5 pointsJaguars D/ST +
  • Away vs Awayeven

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