DJ Moore or Jameson Williams: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 4 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Too close to call — the edges cancel out.

DJ Moore and Jameson Williams grade out even this week. Moore's best edge is the projection (13.0 to 10.4), Williams's best edge is availability (a clean report to Moore's Q) — and they cancel out. Start whichever player's game you trust more this week.

DJ Moore

DJ Moore

WR26BUFvs NE

Projected Points

Start· medium
Jameson Williams

Jameson Williams

WR26DETvs CAR

Projected Points

Toss-Up

DJ Moore’s market

REC
O/U 3.5
-152 / +119
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 49.5
-114 / -110
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+150
Anytime Touchdown Props →

Jameson Williams’s market

REC
O/U 3.5
-104 / -122
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 51.5
-112 / -112
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+195
Anytime Touchdown Props →
NE@
BUFSun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ETView the game →
DET@
CARSun, Oct 4, 8:20 PM ETView the game →

Why DJ Moore

Start· medium

WR1 and primary target. Physical yards-after-catch separator with occasional gadget rushing and trick-play usage.

WR26 with a 22% target share and a 26.3 implied team total; the AC joint sprain is a practice limitation, not a game designation.

  • NE ranks 20 of 32 against WRs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 3-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 26.3 team points as 3.0-point favorites.
  • Listed WR on the latest depth chart with a 57% snap share.

The call

  • Volume carries the case. A 22% target share at a 13.0-point projection (WR26) puts Moore in WR2/flex range in 12-team PPR, above a typical replacement option.
  • Game script helps. His team is a 3-point favorite with a 26.3 implied total, so there should be plenty of scoring chances.
  • The NE matchup is neutral at 20 of 32. It rests on a 3-game sample with 0.25 confidence, so it neither boosts nor sinks him.
  • Risk: the 57% snap share is modest. SI.com (2026-10-01) reports an AC joint sprain and a limited Wednesday practice, though he played 42 snaps against the Chargers and carries no designation. If he picks up a designation or misses Friday practice, this becomes a toss-up.

Latest on Moore

Status

DJ Moore is doubtful to return for the second half of Sunday's game due to a shoulder injury.

Bills WR D.J. Moore doubtful to return after injuring shoulderESPN · Oct 4, 2026
StatusPreviously

DJ Moore is questionable to return to Sunday's Week 4 game against the Patriots due to a shoulder injury.

Bills issue injury update on WR DJ Moore vs. Patriots Week 4buffalobills.com · Oct 4, 2026
StatusPreviously

DJ Moore remains on the injury report with an AC joint sprain; was limited on Wednesday after playing 42 snaps against the Chargers.

SI.com · Oct 1, 2026
Bills mark Keon Coleman, DJ Moore, Ed Oliver as questionable

Bills wide receivers Keon Coleman and DJ Moore and defensive lineman Ed Oliver are questionable to play against the Chargers.

ESPN · Sep 25, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Why Jameson Williams

Toss-Up

WR2 and primary vertical threat. Elite straight-line speed stretching the field on deep shots and jet motion.

Toss-up — WR26 consensus, projects WR39 this week: 25.3 implied team total, 16% target share.

  • CAR ranks 12 of 32 against WRs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 4-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 25.3 team points as 3.0-point favorites.
  • Listed WR-2 on the latest depth chart with a 91% snap share.

Latest on Williams

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Head-to-head stats

MetricDJ MooreJameson Williams
Projected points
Consensus rankWR26WR26
Opponent vs positionNE · 20 of 323-game sampleCAR · 12 of 324-game sample
Receptions22 of 3220 of 32
Receiving Yards9 of 3218 of 32
Receiving TDs24 of 322 of 32
Targets21 of 3220 of 32
Anytime TD24 of 322 of 32
Target share22%16%
Reception share20%15%
Implied total · spread26.3-3.025.3-3.0
Depth chartWR1WR2
Snap share57%91%
Injury designationQ—
Start/Sit record0–1+1 toss-up0–2

Recent form

DJ Moore — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs LAC
Week 2vs DET
Week 1vs HOU

Jameson Williams — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs NYJ
Week 2vs BUF
Week 1vs NO

Signal breakdown

  • 13.0 vs 10.4 projected PPR pointsDJ Moore +
  • Rank 26 vs 26DJ Moore +
  • Opponent DvP rank 20 vs 12 (32 = softest)DJ Moore +
  • Implied 26.3 vs 25.3 team pointsDJ Moore +
  • Q vs no designationJameson Williams +
  • 57% vs 91% snap shareJameson Williams +

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