Harrison Butker or Tyler Loop: Who Should You Start?

Preliminary board

2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Verdicts sharpen as practice reports land.

Loop's stalled Ravens drives outweigh Butker's efficient Chiefs attack

Baltimore's offense is projected to score more than Kansas City's, but it's the way those drives end that separates these two kickers — the Ravens stall in the red zone more often, which means more trips out for Loop's leg even as Baltimore racks up points. Butker plays for a tighter, more finishing offense; when Kansas City gets inside the 20, they're more likely to punch it in than leave him a kick. That efficiency is good for the Chiefs but bad for Butker's floor this week. The gap is thin enough that either kicker returning to form flips it, and Minter's public vote of confidence in Loop after his preseason miscue suggests Baltimore isn't touching the job.

What flips it: A cleaner finishing stretch from Kansas City's offense in the red zone.

Sources: ESPN · Sep 1, 2026

AI editor

Harrison Butker

Harrison Butker

K10KCvs DEN

Projected Points

Toss-Up
Tyler Loop

Tyler Loop

K10BALvs IND

Projected Points

Start

Why Harrison Butker

Toss-Up

Veteran starting K. Reliable leg with proven big-game accuracy.

Toss-up — K10 consensus, projects K12 this week: 1.5 red-zone stalls per game in 2025, 8.5 PPR projected vs DEN.

  • Kansas City's offense finishes drives more often, which caps Butker's field-goal chances even in a competitive game.
  • His track record on long kicks gives him a better shot at bonus points if a Chiefs drive does stall.

Latest on Butker

Seattle Seahawks vs. Kansas City Chiefs Game Highlights

Seattle Seahawks vs. Kansas City Chiefs Game Highlights

ESPN · Aug 28, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Why Tyler Loop

Start

Starting placekicker. Full-season kicking role.

Start — K10 consensus, projects K13 this week: 1.9 red-zone stalls per game in 2025, 8.5 PPR projected vs IND.

  • Baltimore projects to score the most of the two teams, and their red-zone stalls turn that into extra kick tries for Loop.
  • Minter has already spoken up for Loop after his rough preseason finale, so the job isn't in danger despite the shaky outing (ESPN 2026-09-01).

Latest on Loop

Minter backs Loop as Ravens add kicker competition in Moody

Baltimore signed Jake Moody to the practice squad three days after Tyler Loop missed two kicks in the preseason finale.

ESPN · Aug 31, 2026

Jesse Minter still has confidence in K Tyler Loop

Jamison Hensley breaks down the kicking situation for the Ravens.

ESPN · Aug 31, 2026

K Tyler Loop struggles in preseason finale

Jamison Hensley discusses whether Tyler Loop's job is in jeopardy after a lackluster preseason.

ESPN · Aug 29, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Head-to-head stats

MetricHarrison ButkerTyler Loop
Projected points
Consensus rankK10K10
Projected FG attempts2.12.0
Red-zone stalls / game1.5(2025)1.9(2025)
Implied total · spread22.5-2.526.5-3.5
Field-goal %86.8%(2025)88.2%(2025)
Depth chartK1K1
Start/Sit record00+1 toss-up

Signal breakdown

  • 8.5 vs 8.5 projected PPR pointsHarrison Butker +
  • Rank 10 vs 10Tyler Loop +
  • 2.1 vs 2.0 projected attemptsHarrison Butker +
  • 1.5 vs 1.9 red-zone stalls per gameTyler Loop +
  • Kicking weathereven
  • Implied 22.5 vs 26.5 team pointsTyler Loop +
  • No injury designationseven

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