Cam Little or Harrison Butker: Who Should You Start?

Preliminary board

2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Verdicts sharpen as practice reports land.

Start Little — the consensus rank and game script edges are too wide to ignore.

Cam Little is the higher consensus play (K7 to K10) and plays in the better game script (24.0 implied team points to 22.5). Butker's edge is attempt volume, 2.1 to 2.1 projected attempts. The gap is narrow.

Cam Little

Cam Little

K7JAXvs CLE

Projected Points

Start
Harrison Butker

Harrison Butker

K10KCvs DEN

Projected Points

Toss-Up

Why Cam Little

Start

Starting K with strong leg. Full-time placekicker with long-range range.

Start — K7 consensus and projection: 1.6 red-zone stalls a game, and 8.8 pts projected vs CLE.

  • 2.1 FG tries projected, just over the 2.0 league median this week.
  • JAX's offense stalls in the red zone 1.6 times a game (2025) — that's where kicker points come from.
  • Vegas has JAX at 24 points as 7.5-point favorites.
  • 88% on field goals (2025), with a 50-plus make in 6 games.

Why Harrison Butker

Toss-Up

Veteran starting K. Reliable leg with proven big-game accuracy.

Toss-up — K10 by consensus, projects K12 this week: 1.5 red-zone stalls a game, and 8.5 pts projected vs DEN.

  • 2.1 FG tries projected, just over the 2.0 league median this week.
  • KC's offense stalls in the red zone 1.5 times a game (2025) — that's where kicker points come from.
  • Vegas has KC at 22.5 points as 2.5-point favorites.
  • 87% on field goals (2025), with a 50-plus make in 5 games.

Latest on Butker

Seattle Seahawks vs. Kansas City Chiefs Game Highlights

Seattle Seahawks vs. Kansas City Chiefs Game Highlights

ESPN · Aug 28, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Head-to-head stats

MetricCam LittleHarrison Butker
Projected points
Consensus rankK7K10
Projected FG attempts2.12.1
Red-zone stalls / game1.6(2025)1.5(2025)
Implied total · spread24.0-7.522.5-2.5
Field-goal %88.2%(2025)86.8%(2025)
Depth chartK1K1
Start/Sit record00+1 toss-up

Signal breakdown

  • 8.8 vs 8.5 projected PPR pointsCam Little +
  • Rank 7 vs 10Cam Little +
  • 2.1 vs 2.1 projected attemptsHarrison Butker +
  • 1.6 vs 1.5 red-zone stalls per gameCam Little +
  • Kicking weathereven
  • Implied 24.0 vs 22.5 team pointsCam Little +
  • No injury designationseven

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