Chris Boswell or Evan McPherson: Who Should You Start?

Preliminary board

2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Verdicts sharpen as practice reports land.

Boswell's steady role matches McPherson's big offense in a true coin-flip week

Boswell's Steelers project fewer points than McPherson's Bengals, but that gap actually helps him: a stingier red-zone offense keeping drives short means more field-goal tries for Pittsburgh's kicker, and he's projected for a bit more volume because of it. McPherson plays behind a offense that scores more freely, which should mean plenty of scoring chances too, just with slightly more risk those drives end in touchdowns instead of chip shots. Both sit as clear starts with no injury concerns, and the margins in accuracy, rank and expected attempts are thin enough that neither is the safer floor play by any real degree. This is as even as two starting kickers get this week — same depth-chart role, same no-doubt status, offsetting strengths.

What flips it: A Friday weather call that turns wind or rain into a factor at either open-air site.

AI editor

Chris Boswell

Chris Boswell

K12PITvs ATL

Projected Points

Start
Evan McPherson

Evan McPherson

K14CINvs TB

Projected Points

Start

Why Chris Boswell

Start

Veteran starting K and Pro Bowl-caliber leg. Reliable long-range accuracy.

Start — K12 consensus, projects K6 this week: 1.2 red-zone stalls per game in 2025, 9.0 PPR projected vs ATL.

  • A stingier red-zone finish rate for Pittsburgh means more field-goal tries funnel his way rather than touchdowns.
  • His K12 consensus rank and slightly higher volume projection reflect a steadier role than the raw points gap suggests.

Why Evan McPherson

Start

Starting K with proven big-leg range. Reliable from distance in clutch situations.

Start — K14 consensus, projects K11 this week: 1.1 red-zone stalls per game in 2025, 8.5 PPR projected vs TB.

  • Cincinnati's 27.0 implied total gives him access to more scoring drives overall, even if some end in the end zone instead.
  • His 89% accuracy and a long of 63 show a leg capable of cashing in on any long look that does arise.

Head-to-head stats

MetricChris BoswellEvan McPherson
Projected points
Consensus rankK12K14
Projected FG attempts2.11.9
Red-zone stalls / game1.2(2025)1.1(2025)
Implied total · spread22.8-3.027.0-3.5
Field-goal %84.4%(2025)89.3%(2025)
Depth chartK1K1

Signal breakdown

  • 9.0 vs 8.5 projected PPR pointsChris Boswell +
  • Rank 12 vs 14Chris Boswell +
  • 2.1 vs 1.9 projected attemptsChris Boswell +
  • 1.2 vs 1.1 red-zone stalls per gameChris Boswell +
  • Kicking weathereven
  • Implied 22.8 vs 27.0 team pointsEvan McPherson +
  • No injury designationseven

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