Chris Boswell or Will Reichard: Toss-Up — Week 1 Start/Sit Verdict

Too close to call — the edges cancel out.

Chris Boswell and Will Reichard grade out even this week. Boswell's best edge is the projection (9.0 to 8.4), Reichard's best edge is red-zone opportunity (1.3 to 1.2 stalls per game) — and they cancel out. Start whichever player's game you trust more this week.

Chris Boswell

K12PITvs ATL

9.09.09.0 Projected Points

Start

Will Reichard

K12MINvs GB

8.48.48.4 Projected Points

Toss-Up

Why Chris Boswell

Start

Veteran starting K and Pro Bowl-caliber leg. Reliable long-range accuracy.

Start — K12 by consensus, projects K6 this week: 1.2 red-zone stalls a game, and 9.0 pts projected vs ATL.

2.1 FG tries projected, just over the 2.0 league median this week.
PIT's offense stalls in the red zone 1.2 times a game (2025) — that's where kicker points come from.
Vegas has PIT at 22.8 points as 3-point favorites.
84% on field goals (2025), with a 50-plus make in 6 games.

Why Will Reichard

Toss-Up

Starting placekicker and 2025 First-Team All-Pro. Strong-legged third-year kicker with franchise-record 62-yard make.

Toss-up — K12 by consensus, projects K14 this week: kicks indoors, and 1.3 red-zone stalls a game.

Kicks indoors — no weather risk.
2.1 FG tries projected, just over the 2.0 league median this week.
MIN's offense stalls in the red zone 1.3 times a game (2025) — that's where kicker points come from.
Vegas has MIN at 21.5 points as 1.5-point dogs.

Head-to-head stats

Metric	Chris Boswell	Will Reichard
Projected points	9.09.09.0	8.48.48.4
Consensus rank	K12	K12
Projected FG attempts	2.1	2.1
Red-zone stalls / game	1.2(2025)	1.3(2025)
Kicking conditions	—	Indoors, no weather risk
Implied total · spread	22.8-3.0	21.5+1.5
Field-goal %	84.4%(2025)	94.3%(2025)
Depth chart	K1	K1