Harrison Butker or Will Reichard: Who Should You Start?
Preliminary board2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Verdicts sharpen as practice reports land.
Start Butker — the consensus rank and red-zone opportunity edges are too wide to ignore.
Harrison Butker is the higher consensus play (K10 to K12) and gets more red-zone stalls to kick from (1.5 to 1.3 per game). No signal favors Reichard this week. The gap is narrow.
Harrison Butker
8.58.58.5 Projected Points
Will Reichard
8.48.48.4 Projected Points
Why Harrison Butker
Toss-UpVeteran starting K. Reliable leg with proven big-game accuracy.
Toss-up — K10 by consensus, projects K12 this week: 1.5 red-zone stalls a game, and 8.5 pts projected vs DEN.
- 2.1 FG tries projected, just over the 2.0 league median this week.
- KC's offense stalls in the red zone 1.5 times a game (2025) — that's where kicker points come from.
- Vegas has KC at 22.5 points as 2.5-point favorites.
- 87% on field goals (2025), with a 50-plus make in 5 games.
Latest on Butker
Seattle Seahawks vs. Kansas City Chiefs Game Highlights
ESPN · Aug 28, 2026
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Why Will Reichard
Toss-UpStarting placekicker and 2025 First-Team All-Pro. Strong-legged third-year kicker with franchise-record 62-yard make.
Toss-up — K12 by consensus, projects K14 this week: kicks indoors, and 1.3 red-zone stalls a game.
- Kicks indoors — no weather risk.
- 2.1 FG tries projected, just over the 2.0 league median this week.
- MIN's offense stalls in the red zone 1.3 times a game (2025) — that's where kicker points come from.
- Vegas has MIN at 21.5 points as 1.5-point dogs.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Harrison Butker | Will Reichard |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 8.58.58.5 | 8.48.48.4 |
| Consensus rank | K10 | K12 |
| Projected FG attempts | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| Red-zone stalls / game | 1.5(2025) | 1.3(2025) |
| Kicking conditions | — | Indoors, no weather risk |
| Implied total · spread | 22.5-2.5 | 21.5+1.5 |
| Field-goal % | 86.8%(2025) | 94.3%(2025) |
| Depth chart | K1 | K1 |
| Start/Sit record | 0–0+1 toss-up | — |
Signal breakdown
- 8.5 vs 8.4 projected PPR pointsHarrison Butker +
- Rank 10 vs 12Harrison Butker +
- 2.1 vs 2.1 projected attemptsHarrison Butker +
- 1.5 vs 1.3 red-zone stalls per gameHarrison Butker +
- Kicking weathereven
- Implied 22.5 vs 21.5 team pointsHarrison Butker +
- No injury designationseven
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