Start Harrison Mevis over Eddy Pineiro — Week 1 Start/Sit Verdict

Start Mevis — the game script and red-zone opportunity edges are too wide to ignore.

Harrison Mevis plays in the better game script (25.8 implied team points to 22.8) and gets more red-zone stalls to kick from (1.6 to 1.4 per game). Pineiro's edge is attempt volume, 2.1 to 2.0 projected attempts. The gap is narrow.

Eddy Pineiro

K6SFvs LAR

8.78.78.7 Projected Points

Start

Harrison Mevis

K6LARvs SF

9.49.49.4 Projected Points

Start

Why Eddy Pineiro

Start

Veteran starting K. Reliable from short and mid-range with NFL experience.

Start — K6 by consensus, projects K9 this week: 1.4 red-zone stalls a game, and 8.7 pts projected vs LAR.

2.1 FG tries projected, just over the 2.0 league median this week.
SF's offense stalls in the red zone 1.4 times a game (2025) — that's where kicker points come from.
Vegas has SF at 22.8 points as 3-point dogs.
97% on field goals (2025), with a 50-plus make in 5 games.

Why Harrison Mevis

Start

Place kicker with strong-leg profile. Limited NFL sample in spot-duty role.

Start — K6 by consensus, projects K4 this week: 1.6 red-zone stalls a game, and 9.4 pts projected vs SF.

2.0 FG tries projected, just over the 2.0 league median this week.
LAR's offense stalls in the red zone 1.6 times a game (2025) — that's where kicker points come from.
Vegas has LAR at 25.8 points as 3-point favorites.
92% on field goals (2025), with a 50-plus make in 1 game.

Head-to-head stats

Metric	Eddy Pineiro	Harrison Mevis
Projected points	8.78.78.7	9.49.49.4
Consensus rank	K6	K6
Projected FG attempts	2.1	2.0
Red-zone stalls / game	1.4(2025)	1.6(2025)
Implied total · spread	22.8+3.0	25.8-3.0
Field-goal %	96.6%(2025)	92.3%(2025)
Depth chart	K1	K1