Colts D/ST or Vikings D/ST: Who Should You Start?
Preliminary board2026 Week 2 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Verdicts sharpen as practice reports land.
Start Vikings D/ST: the lower-scoring opponent outweighs Indianapolis' disruption edge
Start the Vikings D/ST, but this is a narrow separation between two bottom-tier options. Chicago's 24.5-point implied total gives Minnesota the better scoring environment, while its much stronger lineup support reinforces the model's call. Indianapolis has the more attractive pressure-and-turnover matchup against Kansas City, but a 27-point opponent total makes that path dependent on splash plays. The risk with Minnesota is clear: Chicago's ball security limits the unit's takeaway ceiling, so this is a thin edge rather than a comfortable start.
What flips it: A meaningful drop in Kansas City's implied total.
AI editor
Colts D/ST
3.73.73.7 Projected Points
Vikings D/ST
3.63.63.6 Projected Points
Why Colts D/ST
SitSit — a bottom-tier defensive matchup this week (No. 24): Vegas has KC at 27 points, and 3.7 pts projected vs KC.
- KC's higher sack and turnover profile gives Indianapolis the clearer route to a surprise defensive spike.
- The Colts need disruption to overcome a game script that expects Kansas City to score freely.
Why Vikings D/ST
SitSit — a bottom-tier defensive matchup this week (No. 26): CHI protects the ball (0.7 turnovers a game), and Vegas has them at 24.5 points.
- Chicago's lower implied total gives Minnesota a more forgiving path even without a takeaway-friendly opponent.
- The market's stronger support for Minnesota reflects a steadier play than Indianapolis' boom-or-bust setup.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Colts D/ST | Vikings D/ST |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 3.73.73.7 | 3.63.63.6 |
| Projection rank | Proj.DST24 | Proj.DST26 |
| Started in | 1% of leagues | 9% of leagues |
| Opponent sacks allowed / game | 2.9(2025) | 1.9(2025) |
| Opponent turnovers / game | 0.9(2025) | 0.7(2025) |
| Opponent implied total | 27.0 | 24.5 |
| Home / away | Away | Away |
Recent form
Colts D/ST — last 1 week
| Week 1 | vs BAL | -5.0-5.0-5.0 |
Vikings D/ST — last 1 week
| Week 1 | vs GB | 5.05.05.0 |
Signal breakdown
- 3.7 vs 3.6 projected PPR pointsColts D/ST +
- Started rank 27 vs 16 (1% vs 9% of leagues)Vikings D/ST +
- 2.9 sacks / 0.9 TO vs 1.9 sacks / 0.7 TO per game allowedColts D/ST +
- Opponent implied 27.0 vs 24.5 pointsVikings D/ST +
- Away vs Awayeven
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