Lions D/ST or Colts D/ST: Who Should You Start?
Preliminary board2026 Week 2 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Verdicts sharpen as practice reports land.
Lions D/ST gets the nod on stronger lineup support and a better turnover setup
Lions D/ST gets the nod, though both units remain sits on the broader board because each faces an offense expected to score freely. Detroit's decisive edge is the much stronger lineup support, reinforced by Buffalo allowing more turnovers than Kansas City; the identical projections otherwise make this a narrow preference, not a strong play. The risk is that Buffalo's offense overwhelms the Lions, while Indianapolis at least benefits from facing the slightly lower implied total.
What flips it: A major late downgrade to Detroit’s defensive availability.
AI editor
Lions D/ST
3.73.73.7 Projected Points
Colts D/ST
3.73.73.7 Projected Points
Why Lions D/ST
SitSit — a bottom-tier defensive matchup this week (No. 25): Vegas has BUF at 27.8 points, and 3.7 pts projected vs BUF.
- Buffalo’s higher turnover rate gives Detroit the only meaningful matchup lift in an otherwise poor spot.
- The crowd’s strong preference provides the model’s clearest separation when the projections are indistinguishable.
Why Colts D/ST
SitSit — a bottom-tier defensive matchup this week (No. 24): Vegas has KC at 27 points, and 3.7 pts projected vs KC.
- Kansas City’s slightly lower scoring expectation leaves a small path to a usable outing.
- Indianapolis can still win this comparison if game script creates more pressure than expected.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Lions D/ST | Colts D/ST |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 3.73.73.7 | 3.73.73.7 |
| Projection rank | Proj.DST25 | Proj.DST24 |
| Started in | 65% of leagues | 1% of leagues |
| Opponent sacks allowed / game | 2.9(2025) | 2.9(2025) |
| Opponent turnovers / game | 1.1(2025) | 0.9(2025) |
| Opponent implied total | 27.8 | 27.0 |
| Home / away | Away | Away |
Recent form
Lions D/ST — last 1 week
| Week 1 | vs NO | 5.05.05.0 |
Colts D/ST — last 1 week
| Week 1 | vs BAL | -5.0-5.0-5.0 |
Signal breakdown
- 3.7 vs 3.7 projected PPR pointsColts D/ST +
- Started rank 8 vs 27 (65% vs 1% of leagues)Lions D/ST +
- 2.9 sacks / 1.1 TO vs 2.9 sacks / 0.9 TO per game allowedLions D/ST +
- Opponent implied 27.8 vs 27.0 pointsColts D/ST +
- Away vs Awayeven
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