Broncos D/ST or Colts D/ST: Who Should You Start?

Preliminary board

2026 Week 4 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Verdicts sharpen as practice reports land.

Start the Broncos — the lineup-share and opponent scoring edges are too wide to ignore.

Broncos D/ST is started in more leagues (started rank 10 to 29) and faces the lower-scoring offense (24.5 implied points to 26.0). the Colts's edge is the projection, 4.6 to 3.2. The gap is comfortable.

Broncos D/ST

D/STDENvs SF

Projected Points

Sit

Colts D/ST

D/STINDvs WSH

Projected Points

Toss-Up
DEN@
SFSun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ETView the game →
IND@
WSHSun, Oct 4, 9:30 AM ETView the game →

Why Broncos D/ST

Sit

Sit — a bottom-tier defensive matchup this week (No. 29): SF protects the ball (0.7 turnovers a game), and Vegas has them at 24.5 points.

  • SF's offense gives up 0.0 sacks and 0.7 turnovers a game, below league average.
  • Vegas has SF at 24.5 points as 2.5-point favorites.
  • Over-started: 54% of leagues have them in, 10th among defenses, against a No. 29 matchup.

Why Colts D/ST

Toss-Up

Toss-up — a middling defensive matchup (No. 20 this week): WSH protects the ball (0.3 turnovers a game), and Vegas has them at 26 points.

  • WSH's offense gives up 1.0 sacks and 0.3 turnovers a game, below league average.
  • Vegas has WSH at 26 points as 1.5-point favorites.
  • Under-started: only 1% of leagues have them in, 29th among defenses, against a No. 20 matchup.

Head-to-head stats

MetricBroncos D/STColts D/ST
Projected points
Projection rankProj.DST29Proj.DST20
Started in54% of leagues1% of leagues
Opponent sacks allowed / game0.01.0
Opponent turnovers / game0.70.3
Opponent implied total24.526.0
Home / awayAwayAway
Start/Sit record1–00–0+1 toss-up

Recent form

Broncos D/ST — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs LAR
Week 2vs JAX
Week 1vs KC

Colts D/ST — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs HOU
Week 2vs KC
Week 1vs BAL

Signal breakdown

  • 3.2 vs 4.6 projected PPR pointsColts D/ST +
  • Started rank 10 vs 29 (54% vs 1% of leagues)Broncos D/ST +
  • 0.0 sacks / 0.7 TO vs 1.0 sacks / 0.3 TO per game allowedColts D/ST +
  • Opponent implied 24.5 vs 26.0 pointsBroncos D/ST +
  • Away vs Awayeven

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