Broncos D/ST or Dolphins D/ST: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 4 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Start the Broncos — the lineup-share and opponent scoring edges are too wide to ignore.

Broncos D/ST is started in more leagues (started rank 10 to 32) and faces the lower-scoring offense (24.5 implied points to 25.5). the Dolphins's edge is opponent giveaways, 3.0 sacks allowed to 0.0. The gap is narrow.

Broncos D/ST

D/STDENvs SF

Projected Points

Sit

Dolphins D/ST

D/STMIAvs MIN

Projected Points

Sit
DEN@
SFSun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ETView the game →
MIA@
MINSun, Oct 4, 4:05 PM ETView the game →

Why Broncos D/ST

Sit

Sit — a bottom-tier defensive matchup this week (No. 29): SF protects the ball (0.7 turnovers a game), and Vegas has them at 24.5 points.

  • SF's offense gives up 0.0 sacks and 0.7 turnovers a game, below league average.
  • Vegas has SF at 24.5 points as 2.5-point favorites.
  • Over-started: 54% of leagues have them in, 10th among defenses, against a No. 29 matchup.

Why Dolphins D/ST

Sit

Sit — a bottom-tier defensive matchup this week (No. 27): Vegas has MIN at 25.5 points, and 3.3 pts projected vs MIN.

  • MIN's offense gives up 3.0 sacks and 0.7 turnovers a game, near league average.
  • Vegas has MIN at 25.5 points as 7.5-point favorites.
  • Under-started: only 0% of leagues have them in, 32nd among defenses, against a No. 27 matchup.

Head-to-head stats

MetricBroncos D/STDolphins D/ST
Projected points
Projection rankProj.DST29Proj.DST27
Started in54% of leagues0% of leagues
Opponent sacks allowed / game0.03.0
Opponent turnovers / game0.70.7
Opponent implied total24.525.5
Home / awayAwayAway
Start/Sit record1–00–0+1 toss-up

Recent form

Broncos D/ST — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs LAR
Week 2vs JAX
Week 1vs KC

Dolphins D/ST — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs KC
Week 2vs SF
Week 1vs LV

Signal breakdown

  • 3.2 vs 3.3 projected PPR pointsDolphins D/ST +
  • Started rank 10 vs 32 (54% vs 0% of leagues)Broncos D/ST +
  • 0.0 sacks / 0.7 TO vs 3.0 sacks / 0.7 TO per game allowedDolphins D/ST +
  • Opponent implied 24.5 vs 25.5 pointsBroncos D/ST +
  • Away vs Awayeven

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