Dolphins D/ST or Saints D/ST: Who Should You Start?
Preliminary board2026 Week 2 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Verdicts sharpen as practice reports land.
Saints D/ST wins a bad matchup, but neither unit belongs in your lineup
Neither defense is a recommended start, but New Orleans is the better fallback if you must choose. The Saints face a slightly friendlier setup because Baltimore allows more pressure and carries a lower scoring expectation, while Miami needs splash plays against a careful San Francisco offense. New Orleans still has limited upside, so this is a narrow head-to-head win rather than a usable streaming spot.
What flips it: A meaningful late shift toward San Francisco turnovers.
AI editor

Dolphins D/ST
2.72.72.7 Projected Points

Saints D/ST
3.23.23.2 Projected Points
Why Dolphins D/ST
SitSit — a bottom-tier defensive matchup this week (No. 32): SF protects the ball (1.3 turnovers a game), and Vegas has them at 28.5 points.
- San Francisco's low giveaway profile leaves Miami needing a splash play to salvage value.
- The 28.5-point expectation creates a harsh floor if Miami cannot score a defensive touchdown.
Why Saints D/ST
SitSit — a bottom-tier defensive matchup this week (No. 30): Vegas has BAL at 27 points, and 3.2 pts projected vs BAL.
- Baltimore's higher sack allowance gives New Orleans a more realistic pressure path.
- The Ravens' 27-point expectation still makes New Orleans a desperation stream, not a confident start.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Dolphins D/ST | Saints D/ST |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 2.72.72.7 | 3.23.23.2 |
| Projection rank | Proj.DST32 | Proj.DST30 |
| Started in | 0% of leagues | 1% of leagues |
| Opponent sacks allowed / game | 1.8(2025) | 2.6(2025) |
| Opponent turnovers / game | 1.3(2025) | 1.4(2025) |
| Opponent implied total | 28.5 | 27.0 |
| Home / away | Away | Away |
| Start/Sit record | 0–0+1 toss-up | — |
Recent form
Dolphins D/ST — last 1 week
| Week 1 | vs LV | 6.06.06.0 |
Saints D/ST — last 1 week
| Week 1 | vs DET | 1.01.01.0 |
Signal breakdown
- 2.7 vs 3.2 projected PPR pointsSaints D/ST +
- Started rank 31 vs 24 (0% vs 1% of leagues)Saints D/ST +
- 1.8 sacks / 1.3 TO vs 2.6 sacks / 1.4 TO per game allowedSaints D/ST +
- Opponent implied 28.5 vs 27.0 pointsSaints D/ST +
- Away vs Awayeven
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