Patriots D/ST or Saints D/ST: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 4 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Too close to call — the edges cancel out.

Patriots D/ST and Saints D/ST grade out even this week. the Patriots's best edge is lineup share (started rank 14 to 28), the Saints's best edge is opponent giveaways (2.3 sacks allowed to 2.3) — and they cancel out. Start whichever player's game you trust more this week.

Patriots D/ST

D/STNEvs BUF

Projected Points

Sit

Saints D/ST

D/STNOvs ATL

Projected Points

Sit
NE@
BUFSun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ETView the game →
ATL@
NOMon, Oct 5, 8:15 PM ETView the game →

Why Patriots D/ST

Sit

Sit — a bottom-tier defensive matchup this week (No. 30): Vegas has BUF at 26.3 points, and 2.8 pts projected vs BUF.

  • BUF's offense gives up 2.3 sacks and 1.8 turnovers a game, near league average.
  • Vegas has BUF at 26.3 points as 3-point favorites.
  • Over-started: 31% of leagues have them in, 14th among defenses, against a No. 30 matchup.

Why Saints D/ST

Sit

Sit — a bottom-tier defensive matchup this week (No. 28): 3.2 pts projected vs ATL.

  • ATL's offense gives up 2.3 sacks and 2.7 turnovers a game, well above league average.
  • Vegas has ATL at 21.5 points as 2.5-point dogs.
  • Started in 2% of leagues, 28th among defenses, in line with a No. 28 matchup.

Head-to-head stats

MetricPatriots D/STSaints D/ST
Projected points
Projection rankProj.DST30Proj.DST28
Started in31% of leagues2% of leagues
Opponent sacks allowed / game2.32.3
Opponent turnovers / game1.82.7
Opponent implied total26.321.5
Home / awayAwayHome
Start/Sit record1–00–1

Recent form

Patriots D/ST — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs JAX
Week 2vs PIT
Week 1vs SEA

Saints D/ST — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs LV
Week 2vs BAL
Week 1vs DET

Signal breakdown

  • 2.8 vs 3.2 projected PPR pointsSaints D/ST +
  • Started rank 14 vs 28 (31% vs 2% of leagues)Patriots D/ST +
  • 2.3 sacks / 1.8 TO vs 2.3 sacks / 2.7 TO per game allowedSaints D/ST +
  • Opponent implied 26.3 vs 21.5 pointsSaints D/ST +
  • Away vs HomeSaints D/ST +

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