Raiders D/ST or Saints D/ST: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 4 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Start the Saints — the opponent giveaway and opponent scoring edges are too wide to ignore.
Saints D/ST faces the more giveaway-prone offense (2.3 sacks and 2.7 turnovers allowed per game to 1.3 and 0.7) and faces the lower-scoring offense (21.5 implied points to 24.5). the Raiders's edge is lineup share, started rank 24 to 26. The gap is comfortable.
Raiders D/ST
D/STLVvs KC
3.73.73.7 Projected Points
Sit
Saints D/ST
D/STNOvs ATL
3.23.23.2 Projected Points
Sit
Why Raiders D/ST
SitSit — a bottom-tier defensive matchup this week (No. 26): KC protects the ball (0.7 turnovers a game), and Vegas has them at 24.5 points.
- KC's offense gives up 1.3 sacks and 0.7 turnovers a game, below league average.
- Vegas has KC at 24.5 points as 5.5-point favorites.
- Started in 6% of leagues, 24th among defenses, in line with a No. 26 matchup.
Why Saints D/ST
SitSit — a bottom-tier defensive matchup this week (No. 28): 3.2 pts projected vs ATL.
- ATL's offense gives up 2.3 sacks and 2.7 turnovers a game, well above league average.
- Vegas has ATL at 21.5 points as 2.5-point dogs.
- Started in 3% of leagues, 26th among defenses, in line with a No. 28 matchup.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Raiders D/ST | Saints D/ST |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 3.73.73.7 | 3.23.23.2 |
| Projection rank | Proj.DST26 | Proj.DST28 |
| Started in | 6% of leagues | 3% of leagues |
| Opponent sacks allowed / game | 1.3 | 2.3 |
| Opponent turnovers / game | 0.7 | 2.7 |
| Opponent implied total | 24.5 | 21.5 |
| Home / away | Home | Home |
| Start/Sit record | 0–0+2 toss-ups | 0–1 |
Recent form
Raiders D/ST — last 3 weeks
| Week 3 | vs NO | 11.011.011.0 |
| Week 2 | vs LAC | 12.012.012.0 |
| Week 1 | vs MIA | 14.014.014.0 |
Saints D/ST — last 3 weeks
| Week 3 | vs LV | 2.02.02.0 |
| Week 2 | vs BAL | 8.08.08.0 |
| Week 1 | vs DET | 1.01.01.0 |
Signal breakdown
- 3.7 vs 3.2 projected PPR pointsRaiders D/ST +
- Started rank 24 vs 26 (6% vs 3% of leagues)Raiders D/ST +
- 1.3 sacks / 0.7 TO vs 2.3 sacks / 2.7 TO per game allowedSaints D/ST +
- Opponent implied 24.5 vs 21.5 pointsSaints D/ST +
- Home vs Homeeven
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