Cam Little or Spencer Shrader: Who Should You Start?

Preliminary board

2026 Week 4 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Verdicts sharpen as practice reports land.

Cam Little’s range and stronger standing win a narrow kicker call

Start Cam Little: his proven long-range leg and much stronger consensus standing make him the sturdier choice, though this is not a projection advantage. Shrader has the more inviting field-goal setup, with Indianapolis stalling in the red zone more often, and his recent scoring run is a credible counter. Little’s low stall rate is the key risk: fewer stalled drives can leave his range unused.

What flips it: Jacksonville beginning to stall more often in the red zone.

AI editor

Cam Little

Cam Little

K7JAXvs CIN

Projected Points

Start
Spencer Shrader

Spencer Shrader

K21INDvs WSH

Projected Points

Toss-Up· low
JAX@
CINSun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ETView the game →
IND@
WSHSun, Oct 4, 9:30 AM ETView the game →

Why Cam Little

Start

Starting K with elite leg strength. Proven range well beyond 55 yards.

Start — K7 by consensus, projects K10 this week: 0.3 red-zone stalls a game, and 8.7 pts projected vs CIN.

  • His range beyond 55 yards gives him a route to points even if Jacksonville rarely stalls near the goal line.
  • The much stronger consensus standing supports Little as the more trusted option, despite the thinner field-goal setup.

Why Spencer Shrader

Toss-Up· low

Starting placekicker with a strong leg. Limited career sample and kickoff-touchback value.

Calm open-air conditions, 93% accuracy and a 24.5 implied total support him, but a K21 consensus rank puts him outside the 12-team starter pool.

  • Indianapolis’ more frequent red-zone stalls can turn drives into kickable chances.
  • His recent scoring run offers upside, though the limited career sample makes his accuracy less bankable.

The call

  • The case for starting him: calm forecast with an open roof, 13/14 (93%) on field goals in 2025, and a 24.5 implied team total. He projects for 9.0 points on 1.8 FGs and 2.7 XPs.
  • The case against: consensus ranks him K21. In a 12-team league that means several higher-ranked kickers are likely sitting on waivers as better replacement options.
  • Red-zone volume is modest at 1.0 stalls per game over 3 games. His 50-plus leg is barely tested, with a 52-yard long and a 50-plus make in only 1 game.
  • The 1.5-point spread points to a tight game, which can create late FG chances. The game-winner headlines are unverified and don't change the math. Start him only if your waiver options rank below him; otherwise stream a top-12 kicker.

Latest on Shrader

How Spencer Shrader went from 'oh, that's not good' to blasting game-winning field goal in Colts' win over Texans

Shrader felt a tweak in his groin during pregame warm-ups, but quickly addressed the issue with trainers and wound up connecting on all four of his field goals, including the game-winner, in the Colts' Week 3 win over the Houston Texans.

colts.com · Sep 27, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Head-to-head stats

MetricCam LittleSpencer Shrader
Projected points
Consensus rankK7K21
Projected FG attempts2.02.0
Red-zone stalls / game0.31.0
Kicking conditionsCalm forecast at kickoffCalm forecast at kickoff
Implied total · spread24.5+2.524.5+1.5
Field-goal %88.2%(2025)92.9%(2025)
Depth chartK1K1
Start/Sit record—0–0+2 toss-ups

Recent form

Cam Little — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs NE
Week 2vs DEN
Week 1vs CLE

Spencer Shrader — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs HOU
Week 2vs KC
Week 1vs BAL

Signal breakdown

  • 8.7 vs 9.0 projected PPR pointsSpencer Shrader +
  • Rank 7 vs 21Cam Little +
  • 2.0 vs 2.0 projected attemptsSpencer Shrader +
  • 0.3 vs 1.0 red-zone stalls per gameSpencer Shrader +
  • 5 mph, 71°F, overcast vs 4 mph, 66°F, overcasteven
  • Implied 24.5 vs 24.5 team pointseven
  • No injury designationseven

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