Dominic Zvada or Spencer Shrader: Toss-Up — Week 1 Start/Sit Verdict

Too close to call — the edges cancel out.

Dominic Zvada and Spencer Shrader grade out even this week. Zvada's best edge is red-zone opportunity (1.9 to 1.4 stalls per game), Shrader's best edge is the projection (8.2 to 8.1) — and they cancel out. Start whichever player's game you trust more this week.

Dominic Zvada

KNYGvs DAL

8.18.18.1 Projected Points

Start

Spencer Shrader

K21INDvs BAL

8.28.28.2 Projected Points

Start

Why Dominic Zvada

Start

Start — projects K20 this week: 1.9 red-zone stalls a game, and 8.1 pts projected vs DAL.

2.1 FG tries projected, just over the 2.0 league median this week.
NYG's offense stalls in the red zone 1.9 times a game (2025) — that's where kicker points come from.
Vegas has NYG at 23.5 points as 1.5-point dogs.

Why Spencer Shrader

Start

Backup place kicker. Limited 2025 sample in a depth/spot role.

Start — K21 by consensus, projects K18 this week: 1.4 red-zone stalls a game, and 8.2 pts projected vs BAL.

2.1 FG tries projected, just over the 2.0 league median this week.
IND's offense stalls in the red zone 1.4 times a game (2025) — that's where kicker points come from.
Vegas has IND at 23 points as 3.5-point dogs.
93% on field goals (2025), with a 50-plus make in 1 game.

Head-to-head stats

Metric	Dominic Zvada	Spencer Shrader
Projected points	8.18.18.1	8.28.28.2
Consensus rank	—	K21
Projected FG attempts	2.1	2.1
Red-zone stalls / game	1.9(2025)	1.4(2025)
Implied total · spread	23.5+1.5	23.0+3.5
Field-goal %	—	92.9%(2025)
Depth chart	K1	K1