Colts D/ST or Chargers D/ST: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 4 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Start the Chargers — the lineup-share and opponent giveaway edges are too wide to ignore.

Chargers D/ST is started in more leagues (started rank 19 to 31) and faces the more giveaway-prone offense (1.5 sacks and 1.3 turnovers allowed per game to 1.0 and 0.3). the Colts's edge is the projection, 4.5 to 4.0. The gap is wide.

Colts D/ST

D/STINDvs WSH

Projected Points

Sit· medium

Chargers D/ST

D/STLACvs SEA

Projected Points

Sit
IND@
WSHSun, Oct 4, 9:30 AM ETView the game →
LAC@
SEASun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ETView the game →

Why Colts D/ST

Sit· medium

DST20 projection on the road against a WSH offense implied for 26.0 points that has given up just 1.0 sacks and 0.3 turnovers per game.

  • WSH's offense gives up 1.0 sacks and 0.3 turnovers a game, below league average.
  • Vegas has WSH at 26 points as 1.5-point favorites.
  • Under-started: only 1% of leagues have them in, 31st among defenses, against a No. 21 matchup.

The call

  • The projection rank of DST20 sits well outside the top 12 that matter for a 12-team DST slot, and 4.6 projected points is replacement-level output.
  • The matchup takes away a defense's main scoring paths. WSH has allowed only 1.0 sacks and 0.3 turnovers per game over 3 games, so the projected 2.2 sacks and 0.7 INTs look optimistic rather than conservative.
  • Washington's 26.0 implied total and the projected 23.2 points allowed put the Colts in a points-allowed tier that bleeds fantasy value, and they play on the road.
  • The house lean is toss-up, but the opponent's low giveaway rates and high implied total tip it to a sit. Only stream the Colts if your realistic waiver options project below DST20. At 1% started, the crowd agrees.

Why Chargers D/ST

Sit

Sit — a bottom-tier defensive matchup this week (No. 24): SEA protects the ball (1.3 turnovers a game), and Vegas has them at 24.3 points.

  • SEA's offense gives up 1.5 sacks and 1.3 turnovers a game, below league average.
  • Vegas has SEA at 24.3 points as 3-point favorites.
  • Over-started: 12% of leagues have them in, 19th among defenses, against a No. 24 matchup.

Head-to-head stats

MetricColts D/STChargers D/ST
Projected points
Projection rankProj.DST21Proj.DST24
Started in1% of leagues12% of leagues
Opponent sacks allowed / game1.01.5
Opponent turnovers / game0.31.3
Opponent implied total26.024.3
Home / awayAwayAway
Start/Sit record—0–2

Recent form

Colts D/ST — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs HOU
Week 2vs KC
Week 1vs BAL

Chargers D/ST — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs BUF
Week 2vs LV
Week 1vs ARI

Signal breakdown

  • 4.5 vs 4.0 projected PPR pointsColts D/ST +
  • Started rank 31 vs 19 (1% vs 12% of leagues)Chargers D/ST +
  • 1.0 sacks / 0.3 TO vs 1.5 sacks / 1.3 TO per game allowedChargers D/ST +
  • Opponent implied 26.0 vs 24.3 pointsChargers D/ST +
  • Away vs Awayeven

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