Harrison Butker or Tyler Bass? Start Harrison Butker — Week 2 Start/Sit Verdict

Start Butker — the consensus rank and attempt volume edges are too wide to ignore.

Harrison Butker is the higher consensus play (K10 to K21) and projects for more attempts (2.1 to 1.8). Bass's edge is the game script, 27.8 implied points to 27.0. The gap is comfortable.

Harrison Butker

K10KCvs IND

9.19.19.1 Projected Points

Start· high

Tyler Bass

K21BUFvs DET

8.78.78.7 Projected Points

Start· medium

IND@

KCSun, Sep 20, 8:20 PM ETView the game →

DET@

BUFThu, Sep 17, 8:15 PM ETView the game →

Why Harrison Butker

Start· high

Veteran starting kicker with big-leg range. Proven under postseason pressure.

K10 with a 27.0 implied total, 1.5 red-zone stalls per game and 87% accuracy — 2.1 FG tries plus 2.6 XPs is a clean 9.1-point floor.

Calm forecast at kickoff.
2.1 FG tries projected, just over the 2.0 league median this week.
KC's offense stalls in the red zone 1.5 times a game (2025) — that's where kicker points come from.
Vegas has KC at 27 points as 6.5-point favorites.

The call

Kansas City's 27.0 implied total and -6.5 spread point to a high-volume scoring day, and the 2.6 projected extra points reflect touchdown equity behind a kicker who is the locked-in PK1 with no designation.
The offense stalls in the red zone 1.5 times per game, which is exactly the profile that converts drives into the 2.1 projected attempts rather than leaving him waiting on XPs.
Butker's 87% accuracy (33/38) with a 59-yard long and 50-plus makes in five games means the 10 mph wind under an open roof barely dents his range.

Why Tyler Bass

Start· medium

Starting placekicker. Strong leg on kickoffs and long-range attempts.

27.8 implied total plus calm, open-roof conditions gives Bass a clean 3.1 XP floor and 1.8 FG tries as the locked-in PK1.

Calm forecast at kickoff.
1.8 FG tries projected, just under the 2.0 league median this week.
BUF's offense stalls in the red zone 1.3 times a game (2025) — that's where kicker points come from.
Vegas has BUF at 27.8 points as 3-point favorites.

The call

Buffalo's 27.8 implied team total is the driver here — 3.1 projected extra points is a floor most kickers can't match, and it comes with 1.8 FG attempts on top.
Calm forecast with the roof open removes the main thing that separates kickers week to week; no wind or precipitation to shrink the 50-plus range.
Only 1.3 red-zone stalls per game means fewer stalled-drive field goals, which caps the ceiling a bit — that's why he sits at K21 in consensus rank despite 8.7 projected points.
PK1 on the depth chart with no injury designation; nothing about the role is in question.

Head-to-head stats

Metric	Harrison Butker	Tyler Bass
Projected points	9.19.19.1	8.78.78.7
Consensus rank	K10	K21
Projected FG attempts	2.1	1.8
Red-zone stalls / game	1.5(2025)	1.3(2025)
Kicking conditions	Calm forecast at kickoff	Calm forecast at kickoff
Implied total · spread	27.0-6.5	27.8-3.0
Field-goal %	86.8%(2025)	—
Depth chart	K1	K1
Start/Sit record	0–1	—

Signal breakdown

9.1 vs 8.7 projected PPR pointsHarrison Butker +
Rank 10 vs 21Harrison Butker +
2.1 vs 1.8 projected attemptsHarrison Butker +
1.5 vs 1.3 red-zone stalls per gameHarrison Butker +
9 mph, 73°F, overcast vs 4 mph, 71°F, overcasteven
Implied 27.0 vs 27.8 team pointsTyler Bass +
No injury designationseven

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Harrison Butker or Tyler Bass: Who Should You Start?