Broncos D/ST or Packers D/ST: Who Should You Start?
Preliminary board2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Verdicts sharpen as practice reports land.
Too close to call — the edges cancel out.
Broncos D/ST and Packers D/ST grade out even this week. the Broncos's best edge is lineup share (started rank 4 to 14), the Packers's best edge is opponent giveaways (4.0 sacks allowed to 2.9) — and they cancel out. Start whichever player's game you trust more this week.
Broncos D/ST
D/STDENvs KC
5.95.95.9 Projected Points
Sit
Packers D/ST
D/STGBvs MIN
5.45.45.4 Projected Points
Start
Why Broncos D/ST
SitSit — a bottom-tier defensive matchup this week (No. 11): 5.9 pts projected vs KC.
- KC's offense gives up 2.9 sacks and 0.9 turnovers a game (2025), near league average.
- Vegas has KC at 22.5 points as 2.5-point favorites.
- Over-started: 88% of leagues have them in, 4th among defenses, against a No. 11 matchup.
Why Packers D/ST
StartStart — the No. 13 defensive matchup this week: MIN gives up 4.0 sacks and 1.8 turnovers a game, and 5.4 pts projected vs MIN.
- MIN's offense gives up 4.0 sacks and 1.8 turnovers a game (2025), well above league average.
- Vegas has MIN at 21.5 points as 1.5-point dogs.
- Started in 12% of leagues, 14th among defenses, in line with a No. 13 matchup.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Broncos D/ST | Packers D/ST |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 5.95.95.9 | 5.45.45.4 |
| Projection rank | Proj.DST11 | Proj.DST13 |
| Started in | 88% of leagues | 12% of leagues |
| Opponent sacks allowed / game | 2.9(2025) | 4.0(2025) |
| Opponent turnovers / game | 0.9(2025) | 1.8(2025) |
| Opponent implied total | 22.5 | 21.5 |
| Home / away | Away | Away |
Signal breakdown
- 5.9 vs 5.4 projected PPR pointsBroncos D/ST +
- Started rank 4 vs 14 (88% vs 12% of leagues)Broncos D/ST +
- 2.9 sacks / 0.9 TO vs 4.0 sacks / 1.8 TO per game allowedPackers D/ST +
- Opponent implied 22.5 vs 21.5 pointsPackers D/ST +
- Away vs Awayeven
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This week’s toughest calls
- K. WilliamsKyren WilliamsRBLARvs SF
T. Etienne Jr.Travis Etienne Jr.RBNOvs DET
- T. Etienne Jr.Travis Etienne Jr.RBNOvs DETC. SkatteboCam SkatteboRBNYGvs DAL
- C. SkatteboCam SkatteboRBNYGvs DALD. SwiftD'Andre SwiftRBCHIvs CAR
- D. SwiftD'Andre SwiftRBCHIvs CARB. TutenBhayshul TutenRBJAXvs CLE
- B. TutenBhayshul TutenRBJAXvs CLEB. IrvingBucky IrvingRBTBvs CIN
- B. IrvingBucky IrvingRBTBvs CIND. MontgomeryDavid MontgomeryRBHOUvs BUF
- T. HigginsTee HigginsWRCINvs TB
D. AdamsDavante AdamsWRLARvs SF
- D. AdamsDavante AdamsWRLARvs SFD. MooreDJ MooreWRBUFvs HOU
- D. MooreDJ MooreWRBUFvs HOUJ. WilliamsJameson WilliamsWRDETvs NO
- J. WilliamsJameson WilliamsWRDETvs NOR. OdunzeRome OdunzeWRCHIvs CAR
- R. OdunzeRome OdunzeWRCHIvs CARC. SuttonCourtland SuttonWRDENvs KC
- C. SuttonCourtland SuttonWRDENvs KCC. WatsonChristian WatsonWRGBvs MIN
- K. Pitts Sr.Kyle Pitts Sr.TEATLvs PIT
G. KittleGeorge KittleTESFvs LAR
- G. KittleGeorge KittleTESFvs LARS. LaPortaSam LaPortaTEDETvs NO
- S. LaPortaSam LaPortaTEDETvs NOT. KraftTucker KraftTEGBvs MIN
- T. KraftTucker KraftTEGBvs MINT. KelceTravis KelceTEKCvs DEN
- T. KelceTravis KelceTEKCvs DEND. GoedertDallas GoedertTEPHIvs WSH
- D. GoedertDallas GoedertTEPHIvs WSHJ. FergusonJake FergusonTEDALvs NYG
- J. HurtsJalen HurtsQBPHIvs WSH
D. PrescottDak PrescottQBDALvs NYG
- D. PrescottDak PrescottQBDALvs NYGJ. DartJaxson DartQBNYGvs DAL
- J. DartJaxson DartQBNYGvs DALJ. HerbertJustin HerbertQBLACvs ARI
- J. HerbertJustin HerbertQBLACvs ARIC. WilliamsCaleb WilliamsQBCHIvs CAR
- C. WilliamsCaleb WilliamsQBCHIvs CART. LawrenceTrevor LawrenceQBJAXvs CLE
- T. LawrenceTrevor LawrenceQBJAXvs CLEB. PurdyBrock PurdyQBSFvs LAR
- C. DickerCameron DickerKLACvs ARI
J. BatesJake BatesKDETvs NO
- J. BatesJake BatesKDETvs NOT. LoopTyler LoopKBALvs IND
- T. LoopTyler LoopKBALvs INDH. ButkerHarrison ButkerKKCvs DEN
- H. ButkerHarrison ButkerKKCvs DENC. BoswellChris BoswellKPITvs ATL
- C. BoswellChris BoswellKPITvs ATLE. McPhersonEvan McPhersonKCINvs TB
- E. McPhersonEvan McPhersonKCINvs TBC. McLaughlinChase McLaughlinKTBvs CIN
- Jaguars D/STJaguars D/STDSTJAXvs CLE
Chargers D/STChargers D/STDSTLACvs ARI
- Chargers D/STChargers D/STDSTLACvs ARITitans D/STTitans D/STDSTTENvs NYJ
- Titans D/STTitans D/STDSTTENvs NYJJets D/STJets D/STDSTNYJvs TEN
- Jets D/STJets D/STDSTNYJvs TENEagles D/STEagles D/STDSTPHIvs WSH
- Eagles D/STEagles D/STDSTPHIvs WSHBears D/STBears D/STDSTCHIvs CAR
- Bears D/STBears D/STDSTCHIvs CARPackers D/STPackers D/STDSTGBvs MIN
- T. Etienne Jr.Travis Etienne Jr.RBNOvs DETD. AdamsDavante AdamsWRLARvs SF
- D. AdamsDavante AdamsWRLARvs SFK. WilliamsKyren WilliamsRBLARvs SF
- J. PriceJadarian PriceRBSEAvs NE
T. HigginsTee HigginsWRCINvs TB - T. HigginsTee HigginsWRCINvs TBM. LloydMarShawn LloydRBGBvs MIN
- B. IrvingBucky IrvingRBTBvs CINR. OdunzeRome OdunzeWRCHIvs CAR
- R. OdunzeRome OdunzeWRCHIvs CARB. TutenBhayshul TutenRBJAXvs CLE
- D. SwiftD'Andre SwiftRBCHIvs CARJ. WilliamsJameson WilliamsWRDETvs NO
- J. WilliamsJameson WilliamsWRDETvs NOJ. BrooksJonathon BrooksRBCARvs CHI
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