Bears D/ST or Broncos D/ST: Who Should You Start?
Preliminary board2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Verdicts sharpen as practice reports land.
Start the Broncos — the lineup-share and projection edges are too wide to ignore.
Broncos D/ST is started in more leagues (started rank 4 to 17) and projects 5.9 to the Bears's 5.7. the Bears's edge is the opponent total, 21.0 to 22.5 opponent implied points. The gap is comfortable.
Bears D/ST
D/STCHIvs CAR
5.75.75.7 Projected Points
Toss-Up
Broncos D/ST
D/STDENvs KC
5.95.95.9 Projected Points
Sit
Why Bears D/ST
Toss-UpToss-up — a middling defensive matchup (No. 12 this week): on the road, and 5.7 pts projected vs CAR.
- CAR's offense gives up 2.2 sacks and 1.4 turnovers a game (2025), near league average.
- Vegas has CAR at 21 points as 2.5-point dogs.
- Under-started: only 8% of leagues have them in, 17th among defenses, against a No. 12 matchup.
Why Broncos D/ST
SitSit — a bottom-tier defensive matchup this week (No. 11): 5.9 pts projected vs KC.
- KC's offense gives up 2.9 sacks and 0.9 turnovers a game (2025), near league average.
- Vegas has KC at 22.5 points as 2.5-point favorites.
- Over-started: 88% of leagues have them in, 4th among defenses, against a No. 11 matchup.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Bears D/ST | Broncos D/ST |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 5.75.75.7 | 5.95.95.9 |
| Projection rank | Proj.DST12 | Proj.DST11 |
| Started in | 8% of leagues | 88% of leagues |
| Opponent sacks allowed / game | 2.2(2025) | 2.9(2025) |
| Opponent turnovers / game | 1.4(2025) | 0.9(2025) |
| Opponent implied total | 21.0 | 22.5 |
| Home / away | Away | Away |
| Start/Sit record | 0–0+1 toss-up | — |
Signal breakdown
- 5.7 vs 5.9 projected PPR pointsBroncos D/ST +
- Started rank 17 vs 4 (8% vs 88% of leagues)Broncos D/ST +
- 2.2 sacks / 1.4 TO vs 2.9 sacks / 0.9 TO per game allowedBroncos D/ST +
- Opponent implied 21.0 vs 22.5 pointsBears D/ST +
- Away vs Awayeven
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