Daniel Carlson or Tyler Bass: Who Should You Start?
Preliminary board2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Verdicts sharpen as practice reports land.
Too close to call — the edges cancel out.
Daniel Carlson and Tyler Bass grade out even this week. Carlson's best edge is attempt volume (2.1 to 1.8 projected attempts), Bass's best edge is the game script (23.5 implied points to 20.8) — and they cancel out. Start whichever player's game you trust more this week.
Daniel Carlson
7.77.77.7 Projected Points
Tyler Bass
7.57.57.5 Projected Points
Why Daniel Carlson
Toss-UpToss-up — K21 by consensus, projects K23 this week: kicks indoors, and 1.5 red-zone stalls a game.
- Kicks indoors — no weather risk.
- 2.1 FG tries projected, just over the 2.0 league median this week.
- NO's offense stalls in the red zone 1.5 times a game (2025) — that's where kicker points come from.
- Vegas has NO at 20.8 points as 7-point dogs.
Latest on Carlson
The Saints are signing free agent kicker Daniel Carlson, his agents told The NFL Network's Mike Garafolo and Ian Rapoport.
ESPN · Aug 24, 2026
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Why Tyler Bass
SitSit — K20 by consensus, projects K27 this week: 1.3 red-zone stalls a game, and 7.5 pts projected vs HOU.
- 1.8 FG tries projected, just under the 2.0 league median this week.
- BUF's offense stalls in the red zone 1.3 times a game (2025) — that's where kicker points come from.
- Vegas has BUF at 23.5 points as 1.5-point favorites.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Daniel Carlson | Tyler Bass |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 7.77.77.7 | 7.57.57.5 |
| Consensus rank | K21 | K20 |
| Projected FG attempts | 2.1 | 1.8 |
| Red-zone stalls / game | 1.5(2025) | 1.3(2025) |
| Kicking conditions | Indoors, no weather risk | — |
| Implied total · spread | 20.8+7.0 | 23.5-1.5 |
| Field-goal % | 81.5%(2025) | — |
| Depth chart | K1 | K1 |
Signal breakdown
- 7.7 vs 7.5 projected PPR pointsDaniel Carlson +
- Rank 21 vs 20Tyler Bass +
- 2.1 vs 1.8 projected attemptsDaniel Carlson +
- 1.5 vs 1.3 red-zone stalls per gameDaniel Carlson +
- Kicking weathereven
- Implied 20.8 vs 23.5 team pointsTyler Bass +
- No injury designationseven
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