Jake Elliott or Tyler Bass: Toss-Up — Week 1 Start/Sit Verdict

Too close to call — the edges cancel out.

Jake Elliott and Tyler Bass grade out even this week. Elliott's best edge is the projection (8.5 to 7.5), Bass's best edge is red-zone opportunity (1.3 to 0.8 stalls per game) — and they cancel out. Start whichever player's game you trust more this week.

Jake Elliott

K20PHIvs WSH

8.58.58.5 Projected Points

Start

Tyler Bass

K20BUFvs HOU

7.57.57.5 Projected Points

Sit

Why Jake Elliott

Start

Starting K and franchise mainstay. Super Bowl-tested in big moments but coming off back-to-back inconsistent regular seasons.

Start — K20 by consensus, projects K10 this week: 0.8 red-zone stalls a game, and 8.5 pts projected vs WSH.

1.9 FG tries projected, just under the 2.0 league median this week.
PHI's offense stalls in the red zone 0.8 times a game (2025) — that's where kicker points come from.
Vegas has PHI at 26 points as 5.5-point favorites.
74% on field goals (2025), with a 50-plus make in 3 games.

Why Tyler Bass

Sit

Sit — K20 by consensus, projects K27 this week: 1.3 red-zone stalls a game, and 7.5 pts projected vs HOU.

1.8 FG tries projected, just under the 2.0 league median this week.
BUF's offense stalls in the red zone 1.3 times a game (2025) — that's where kicker points come from.
Vegas has BUF at 23.5 points as 1.5-point favorites.

Head-to-head stats

Metric	Jake Elliott	Tyler Bass
Projected points	8.58.58.5	7.57.57.5
Consensus rank	K20	K20
Projected FG attempts	1.9	1.8
Red-zone stalls / game	0.8(2025)	1.3(2025)
Implied total · spread	26.0-5.5	23.5-1.5
Field-goal %	74.1%(2025)	—
Depth chart	K1	K1