Evan McPherson or Tyler Bass: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 2 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Too close to call — the edges cancel out.

Evan McPherson and Tyler Bass grade out even this week. McPherson's best edge is the consensus rank (K13 to K21), Bass's best edge is the game script (27.8 implied points to 22.0) — and they cancel out. Start whichever player's game you trust more this week.

Evan McPherson

Evan McPherson

K13CINvs HOU

Projected Points

Sit
Tyler Bass

Tyler Bass

K21BUFvs DET

Projected Points

Start· medium
CIN@
HOUSun, Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETView the game →
DET@
BUFThu, Sep 17, 8:15 PM ETView the game →

Why Evan McPherson

Sit

Starting placekicker with big-leg range. Proven clutch postseason performer.

Sit — K13 by consensus, projects K23 this week: 1.1 red-zone stalls a game, and 8.0 pts projected vs HOU.

  • Calm forecast at kickoff.
  • 1.9 FG tries projected, just under the 2.0 league median this week.
  • CIN's offense stalls in the red zone 1.1 times a game (2025) — that's where kicker points come from.
  • Vegas has CIN at 22 points as 2.5-point dogs.

Latest on McPherson

Evan McPherson Named AFC Special Teams Player of the Week

Bengals K Evan McPherson today was named AFC Special Teams Player of the Week for his performance in the team’s 33-27 win over Tampa Bay in Week 1.

bengals.com · Sep 16, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Why Tyler Bass

Start· medium

Starting placekicker. Strong leg on kickoffs and long-range attempts.

27.8 implied total plus calm, open-roof conditions gives Bass a clean 3.1 XP floor and 1.8 FG tries as the locked-in PK1.

  • Calm forecast at kickoff.
  • 1.8 FG tries projected, just under the 2.0 league median this week.
  • BUF's offense stalls in the red zone 1.3 times a game (2025) — that's where kicker points come from.
  • Vegas has BUF at 27.8 points as 3-point favorites.

The call

  • Buffalo's 27.8 implied team total is the driver here — 3.1 projected extra points is a floor most kickers can't match, and it comes with 1.8 FG attempts on top.
  • Calm forecast with the roof open removes the main thing that separates kickers week to week; no wind or precipitation to shrink the 50-plus range.
  • Only 1.3 red-zone stalls per game means fewer stalled-drive field goals, which caps the ceiling a bit — that's why he sits at K21 in consensus rank despite 8.7 projected points.
  • PK1 on the depth chart with no injury designation; nothing about the role is in question.

Head-to-head stats

MetricEvan McPhersonTyler Bass
Projected points
Consensus rankK13K21
Projected FG attempts1.91.8
Red-zone stalls / game1.1(2025)1.3(2025)
Kicking conditionsRetractable roof, calm forecast either wayCalm forecast at kickoff
Implied total · spread22.0+2.527.8-3.0
Field-goal %89.3%(2025)—
Depth chartK1K1
Start/Sit record1–0—

Recent form

Evan McPherson — last 1 week

Week 1vs TB

Tyler Bass — last 1 week

Week 1vs HOU

Signal breakdown

  • 8.0 vs 8.7 projected PPR pointsTyler Bass +
  • Rank 13 vs 21Evan McPherson +
  • 1.9 vs 1.8 projected attemptsEvan McPherson +
  • 1.1 vs 1.3 red-zone stalls per gameTyler Bass +
  • 6 mph, 93°F, clear vs 4 mph, 71°F, overcasteven
  • Implied 22.0 vs 27.8 team pointsTyler Bass +
  • No injury designationseven

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