Cam Little or Chase McLaughlin: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 4 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Too close to call — the edges cancel out.

Cam Little and Chase McLaughlin grade out even this week. Little's best edge is the consensus rank (K7 to K15), McLaughlin's best edge is red-zone opportunity (2.3 to 0.5 stalls per game) — and they cancel out. Start whichever player's game you trust more this week.

Cam Little

Cam Little

K7JAXvs CIN

Projected Points

Start
Chase McLaughlin

Chase McLaughlin

K15TBvs GB

Projected Points

Toss-Up· low
JAX@
CINSun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ETView the game →
GB@
TBSun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ETView the game →

Why Cam Little

Start

Starting K with elite leg strength. Proven range well beyond 55 yards.

Start — K7 by consensus, projects K10 this week: 8.7 pts projected vs CIN.

  • Calm forecast at kickoff.
  • 2.0 FG tries projected, just under the 2.0 league median this week.
  • JAX's offense stalls in the red zone 0.5 times a game — that's where kicker points come from.
  • Vegas has JAX at 24.5 points as 2.5-point dogs.

Why Chase McLaughlin

Toss-Up· low

Starting placekicker with big-leg range and a 65-yard career long. Reliable from distance, though his 84.9% career accuracy sits around league average.

K15 at 8.5 projected sits on the 12-team cutoff; 2.3 red-zone stalls/game and calm open-air weather keep him in play but don't push him over.

  • Calm forecast at kickoff.
  • 2.1 FG tries projected, just over the 2.0 league median this week.
  • TB's offense stalls in the red zone 2.3 times a game — that's where kicker points come from.
  • Vegas has TB at 23 points as 1.5-point dogs.

The call

  • Rank K15 with an 8.5-point projection puts him just outside the top-12 starting tier, so he is a borderline streamer rather than a clear plug-in.
  • Volume is supportive: his offense stalls in the red zone 2.3 times per game (3-game sample), feeding a projected 1.8 FGs on 2.1 attempts plus 2.1 extra points.
  • Conditions are favorable, with a calm forecast and an open roof. Leg strength is real too: 7 games with a 50-plus make and a long of 65, which adds bonus-distance upside.
  • A 23.0 implied total and a 1.5-point spread point to a competitive game. What tips it: start him over a kicker ranked outside the top 15 or one facing bad weather, and sit him for any top-12 option with a higher implied total.

Head-to-head stats

MetricCam LittleChase McLaughlin
Projected points
Consensus rankK7K15
Projected FG attempts2.02.1
Red-zone stalls / game0.52.3
Kicking conditionsCalm forecast at kickoffCalm forecast at kickoff
Implied total · spread24.5+2.523.0+1.5
Field-goal %88.2%(2025)84.2%(2025)
Depth chartK1K1
Start/Sit record—1–0+3 toss-ups

Recent form

Cam Little — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs NE
Week 2vs DEN
Week 1vs CLE

Chase McLaughlin — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs MIN
Week 2vs CLE
Week 1vs CIN

Signal breakdown

  • 8.7 vs 8.5 projected PPR pointsCam Little +
  • Rank 7 vs 15Cam Little +
  • 2.0 vs 2.1 projected attemptsChase McLaughlin +
  • 0.5 vs 2.3 red-zone stalls per gameChase McLaughlin +
  • 2 mph, 72°F, overcast vs 3 mph, 87°F, partly cloudyeven
  • Implied 24.5 vs 23.0 team pointsCam Little +
  • No injury designationseven

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