Cam Little or Cameron Dicker: Who Should You Start?

Preliminary board

2026 Week 2 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Verdicts sharpen as practice reports land.

Start Dicker — the projection and game script edges are too wide to ignore.

Cameron Dicker projects 10.1 to Little's 8.2 and plays in the better game script (25.5 implied team points to 20.5). No signal favors Little this week. The gap is comfortable.

Cam Little

Cam Little

K7JAXvs DEN

Projected Points

Sit
Cameron Dicker

Cameron Dicker

K2LACvs LV

Projected Points

Start· high
JAX@
DENSun, Sep 20, 4:05 PM ETView the game →
LV@
LACSun, Sep 20, 4:05 PM ETView the game →

Why Cam Little

Sit

Starting K with elite leg strength. Proven range well beyond 55 yards.

Sit — K7 by consensus, projects K17 this week: 1.6 red-zone stalls a game, and 8.2 pts projected vs DEN.

  • Calm forecast at kickoff.
  • 2.0 FG tries projected, right at the 2.0 league median this week.
  • JAX's offense stalls in the red zone 1.6 times a game (2025) — that's where kicker points come from.
  • Vegas has JAX at 20.5 points as 2.5-point dogs.

Why Cameron Dicker

Start· high

Starting kicker with elite accuracy and big-leg range. Among the league's most reliable placekickers.

K2 on the board: 25.5 implied total in a dome, 93% accuracy (38/41) and 1.8 red-zone stalls per game feeding 2.3 FG tries.

  • Kicks indoors — no weather risk.
  • 2.3 FG tries projected, just over the 2.0 league median this week.
  • LAC's offense stalls in the red zone 1.8 times a game (2025) — that's where kicker points come from.
  • Vegas has LAC at 25.5 points as 8.5-point favorites.

The call

  • Ranked K2 at 10.1 projected points with no weather variable — indoor dome removes the main kicker downside.
  • Chargers' 25.5 implied total plus 1.8 red-zone stalls per game is the ideal kicker recipe: 2.9 projected extra points on top of 2.3 field-goal attempts.
  • Dicker is hitting 93% (38/41) with five 50-plus makes and a 59-yard long, so the deep tries in an -8.5 spot are live points rather than wasted drives.
  • Locked in as PK1 with no injury designation — zero role risk.

Head-to-head stats

MetricCam LittleCameron Dicker
Projected points
Consensus rankK7K2
Projected FG attempts2.02.3
Red-zone stalls / game1.6(2025)1.8(2025)
Kicking conditionsCalm forecast at kickoffIndoors, no weather risk
Implied total · spread20.5+2.525.5-8.5
Field-goal %88.2%(2025)92.7%(2025)
Depth chartK1K1
Start/Sit record—0–1

Recent form

Cam Little — last 1 week

Week 1vs CLE

Cameron Dicker — last 1 week

Week 1vs ARI

Signal breakdown

  • 8.2 vs 10.1 projected PPR pointsCameron Dicker +
  • Rank 7 vs 2Cameron Dicker +
  • 2.0 vs 2.3 projected attemptsCameron Dicker +
  • 1.6 vs 1.8 red-zone stalls per gameCameron Dicker +
  • 7 mph, 78°F, clear vs domeeven
  • Implied 20.5 vs 25.5 team pointsCameron Dicker +
  • No injury designationseven

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