Texans D/ST or Raiders D/ST: Who Should You Start?
Preliminary board2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Verdicts sharpen as practice reports land.
Start the Texans — the lineup-share and projection edges are too wide to ignore.
Texans D/ST is started in more leagues (started rank 5 to 27) and projects 5.3 to the Raiders's 4.8. the Raiders's edge is the opponent total, 19.3 to 23.5 opponent implied points. The gap is comfortable.
Texans D/ST
D/STHOUvs BUF
5.35.35.3 Projected Points
Sit
Raiders D/ST
D/STLVvs MIA
4.84.84.8 Projected Points
Start
Why Texans D/ST
SitSit — a bottom-tier defensive matchup this week (No. 15): 5.3 pts projected vs BUF.
- BUF's offense gives up 2.9 sacks and 1.1 turnovers a game (2025), near league average.
- Vegas has BUF at 23.5 points as 1.5-point favorites.
- Over-started: 87% of leagues have them in, 5th among defenses, against a No. 15 matchup.
Why Raiders D/ST
StartStart — the No. 18 defensive matchup this week: 4.8 pts projected vs MIA.
- MIA's offense gives up 2.9 sacks and 1.4 turnovers a game (2025), near league average.
- Vegas has MIA at 19.3 points as 3-point dogs.
- Under-started: only 1% of leagues have them in, 27th among defenses, against a No. 18 matchup.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Texans D/ST | Raiders D/ST |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 5.35.35.3 | 4.84.84.8 |
| Projection rank | Proj.DST15 | Proj.DST18 |
| Started in | 87% of leagues | 1% of leagues |
| Opponent sacks allowed / game | 2.9(2025) | 2.9(2025) |
| Opponent turnovers / game | 1.1(2025) | 1.4(2025) |
| Opponent implied total | 23.5 | 19.3 |
| Home / away | Home | Home |
Signal breakdown
- 5.3 vs 4.8 projected PPR pointsTexans D/ST +
- Started rank 5 vs 27 (87% vs 1% of leagues)Texans D/ST +
- 2.9 sacks / 1.1 TO vs 2.9 sacks / 1.4 TO per game allowedRaiders D/ST +
- Opponent implied 23.5 vs 19.3 pointsRaiders D/ST +
- Home vs Homeeven
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