Raiders D/ST or Patriots D/ST: Who Should You Start?
Preliminary board2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Verdicts sharpen as practice reports land.
Start the Patriots — the lineup-share edge is too wide to ignore.
Patriots D/ST is started in more leagues (started rank 9 to 27). the Raiders's edge is the opponent total, 19.3 to 24.0 opponent implied points. The gap is narrow.
Raiders D/ST
D/STLVvs MIA
4.84.84.8 Projected Points
Start
Patriots D/ST
D/STNEvs SEA
4.74.74.7 Projected Points
Sit
Why Raiders D/ST
StartStart — the No. 18 defensive matchup this week: 4.8 pts projected vs MIA.
- MIA's offense gives up 2.9 sacks and 1.4 turnovers a game (2025), near league average.
- Vegas has MIA at 19.3 points as 3-point dogs.
- Under-started: only 1% of leagues have them in, 27th among defenses, against a No. 18 matchup.
Why Patriots D/ST
SitSit — a bottom-tier defensive matchup this week (No. 19): Vegas has SEA at 24 points, and 4.7 pts projected vs SEA.
- SEA's offense gives up 2.1 sacks and 1.6 turnovers a game (2025), near league average.
- Vegas has SEA at 24 points as 3.5-point favorites.
- Over-started: 58% of leagues have them in, 9th among defenses, against a No. 19 matchup.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Raiders D/ST | Patriots D/ST |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 4.84.84.8 | 4.74.74.7 |
| Projection rank | Proj.DST18 | Proj.DST19 |
| Started in | 1% of leagues | 58% of leagues |
| Opponent sacks allowed / game | 2.9(2025) | 2.1(2025) |
| Opponent turnovers / game | 1.4(2025) | 1.6(2025) |
| Opponent implied total | 19.3 | 24.0 |
| Home / away | Home | Away |
Signal breakdown
- 4.8 vs 4.7 projected PPR pointsRaiders D/ST +
- Started rank 27 vs 9 (1% vs 58% of leagues)Patriots D/ST +
- 2.9 sacks / 1.4 TO vs 2.1 sacks / 1.6 TO per game allowedRaiders D/ST +
- Opponent implied 19.3 vs 24.0 pointsRaiders D/ST +
- Home vs AwayRaiders D/ST +
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