Browns D/ST or Texans D/ST: Who Should You Start?

Preliminary board

2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Verdicts sharpen as practice reports land.

Start the Texans — the lineup-share and home-field edges are too wide to ignore.

Texans D/ST is started in more leagues (started rank 5 to 10) and plays at home. the Browns's edge is opponent giveaways, 3.4 sacks allowed to 2.9. The gap is comfortable.

Browns D/ST

D/STCLEvs JAX

Projected Points

Sit

Texans D/ST

D/STHOUvs BUF

Projected Points

Sit

Why Browns D/ST

Sit

Sit — a bottom-tier defensive matchup this week (No. 17): Vegas has JAX at 24 points, and 4.9 pts projected vs JAX.

  • JAX's offense gives up 3.4 sacks and 1.1 turnovers a game (2025), near league average.
  • Vegas has JAX at 24 points as 7.5-point favorites.
  • Over-started: 52% of leagues have them in, 10th among defenses, against a No. 17 matchup.

Why Texans D/ST

Sit

Sit — a bottom-tier defensive matchup this week (No. 15): 5.3 pts projected vs BUF.

  • BUF's offense gives up 2.9 sacks and 1.1 turnovers a game (2025), near league average.
  • Vegas has BUF at 23.5 points as 1.5-point favorites.
  • Over-started: 87% of leagues have them in, 5th among defenses, against a No. 15 matchup.

Head-to-head stats

MetricBrowns D/STTexans D/ST
Projected points
Projection rankProj.DST17Proj.DST15
Started in52% of leagues87% of leagues
Opponent sacks allowed / game3.4(2025)2.9(2025)
Opponent turnovers / game1.1(2025)1.1(2025)
Opponent implied total24.023.5
Home / awayAwayHome

Signal breakdown

  • 4.9 vs 5.3 projected PPR pointsTexans D/ST +
  • Started rank 10 vs 5 (52% vs 87% of leagues)Texans D/ST +
  • 3.4 sacks / 1.1 TO vs 2.9 sacks / 1.1 TO per game allowedBrowns D/ST +
  • Opponent implied 24.0 vs 23.5 pointsTexans D/ST +
  • Away vs HomeTexans D/ST +

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