Start Harrison Mevis over Trey Smack — Week 1 Start/Sit Verdict

Start Mevis — the consensus rank and projection edges are too wide to ignore.

Harrison Mevis is the higher consensus play (K7 to K17) and projects 9.4 to Smack's 8.3. Smack's edge is attempt volume, 2.0 to 2.0 projected attempts. The gap is comfortable.

Harrison Mevis

K7LARvs SF

9.49.49.4 Projected Points

Start

Trey Smack

K17GBvs MIN

8.38.38.3 Projected Points

Toss-Up· medium

Why Harrison Mevis

Start

Starting K with strong leg. Big-distance range on field goals; limited career sample.

Start — K7 by consensus, projects K4 this week: 1.6 red-zone stalls a game, and 9.4 pts projected vs SF.

Calm forecast at kickoff.
2.0 FG tries projected, just over the 2.0 league median this week.
LAR's offense stalls in the red zone 1.6 times a game (2025) — that's where kicker points come from.
Vegas has LAR at 25.8 points as 3-point favorites.

Latest on Mevis

5 Takeaways from Rams' 20-18 preseason Week 3 win over Chargers: QB usage, Harrison Mevis' perfect preseason, and more

Here are five things that stood out from the Rams' 2026 preseason finale Thursday night at SoFi Stadium.

therams.com · Aug 28, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Why Trey Smack

Toss-Up· medium

Rookie starting placekicker with a strong leg. Long-range kickoff and field-goal ability; no NFL regular-season sample yet.

Dome game and 1.5 red-zone stalls per game keep the floor safe, but K17 with a 23.0 implied total is streamer territory in 12-team leagues.

Kicks indoors — no weather risk.
2.0 FG tries projected, just over the 2.0 league median this week.
GB's offense stalls in the red zone 1.5 times a game (2025) — that's where kicker points come from.
Vegas has GB at 23 points as 1.5-point favorites.

The call

Weather is a non-factor — indoor dome, no wind or precipitation risk, so the 1.7-of-2.0 field goal projection and 2.3 extra points should hold.
The offense stalling in the red zone 1.5 times per game is the reason he has a floor at all; those drives convert into the field goal attempts that carry his 8.3 projection.
A 23.0 implied team total and a -1.5 spread point to a tight, moderate-scoring game — enough volume to be usable, not enough to push him past the top 12.
He's the locked-in PK1 with no designation, so if your alternative is a kicker in an outdoor game or on a lower-total offense, Smack is the play; a top-12 kicker with a higher implied total tips it the other way.

Head-to-head stats

Metric	Harrison Mevis	Trey Smack
Projected points	9.49.49.4	8.38.38.3
Consensus rank	K7	K17
Projected FG attempts	2.0	2.0
Red-zone stalls / game	1.6(2025)	1.5(2025)
Kicking conditions	Calm forecast at kickoff	Indoors, no weather risk
Implied total · spread	25.8-3.0	23.0-1.5
Field-goal %	92.3%(2025)	—
Depth chart	K1	K1
Start/Sit record	—	0–0+1 toss-up