Chris Boswell or Harrison Mevis: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Start Mevis — the game script and red-zone opportunity edges are too wide to ignore.
Harrison Mevis plays in the better game script (25.8 implied team points to 22.8) and gets more red-zone stalls to kick from (1.6 to 1.2 per game). Boswell's edge is attempt volume, 2.1 to 2.0 projected attempts. The gap is narrow.

Chris Boswell
9.09.09.0 Projected Points

Harrison Mevis
9.49.49.4 Projected Points
Why Chris Boswell
Start· mediumStarting PK and one of the league's most accurate. Big leg with proven cold-weather clutch production.
Boswell is the K12 play with a 22.8 implied total, 2.1 projected FG tries and 1.2 red-zone stalls per game feeding the leg.
- Calm forecast at kickoff.
- 2.1 FG tries projected, just over the 2.0 league median this week.
- PIT's offense stalls in the red zone 1.2 times a game (2025) — that's where kicker points come from.
- Vegas has PIT at 22.8 points as 3-point favorites.
The call
- Consensus K12 at 9.0 projected points is squarely startable in a 12-team league — no replacement-level kicker beats that baseline.
- Pittsburgh's 22.8 implied total plus 1.2 red-zone stalls per game funnels drives into field-goal tries: 1.9 makes on 2.1 attempts with 2.4 extra points projected.
- He's the locked-in PK1 with no designation, hitting 84% (27/32) and connecting from 50-plus in six games with a 60-yard long, so distance isn't a cap on his range.
- Only real wrinkle is an open roof with no forecast yet — check wind before kickoff, but nothing in the sheet suggests a problem.
Why Harrison Mevis
StartStarting K with strong leg. Big-distance range on field goals; limited career sample.
Start — K7 by consensus, projects K4 this week: 1.6 red-zone stalls a game, and 9.4 pts projected vs SF.
- Calm forecast at kickoff.
- 2.0 FG tries projected, just over the 2.0 league median this week.
- LAR's offense stalls in the red zone 1.6 times a game (2025) — that's where kicker points come from.
- Vegas has LAR at 25.8 points as 3-point favorites.
Latest on Mevis
Here are five things that stood out from the Rams' 2026 preseason finale Thursday night at SoFi Stadium.
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Chris Boswell | Harrison Mevis |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 9.09.09.0 | 9.49.49.4 |
| Consensus rank | K6 | K7 |
| Projected FG attempts | 2.1 | 2.0 |
| Red-zone stalls / game | 1.2(2025) | 1.6(2025) |
| Kicking conditions | Calm forecast at kickoff | Calm forecast at kickoff |
| Implied total · spread | 22.8-3.0 | 25.8-3.0 |
| Field-goal % | 84.4%(2025) | 92.3%(2025) |
| Depth chart | K1 | K1 |
Signal breakdown
- 9.0 vs 9.4 projected PPR pointsHarrison Mevis +
- Rank 6 vs 7Chris Boswell +
- 2.1 vs 2.0 projected attemptsChris Boswell +
- 1.2 vs 1.6 red-zone stalls per gameHarrison Mevis +
- 6 mph, 82°F, clear vs 1 mph, 55°F, cleareven
- Implied 22.8 vs 25.8 team pointsHarrison Mevis +
- No injury designationseven
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