Bhayshul Tuten or Jaylen Warren: Who Should You Start?

The call

• Game script is the best part of the case: Jacksonville is a 7.5-point favorite with a 24.0 implied total, the kind of profile that funnels second-half carries to the backfield.
• Role is the problem — 21% snap share and a 3% target share over 15 games means he's been a complementary piece, not a workhorse, so the 12.4 projection assumes a bigger slice than his usage has earned.
• No injury designation, so this is purely a usage bet: if Jacksonville rides the lead early and he's handling the closing work, he's a fine PPR flex.
• What tips it: confirmation of an expanded committee share or backfield attrition in Jacksonville pushes him to a clear start; otherwise take a back with a locked-in touch floor.

The call

• A 9% target share is the swing factor — that receiving role gives Warren a PPR floor even on weeks the carries split evenly.
• Pittsburgh is favored by 3.0 with a 22.8 implied total, a script that keeps a 51% snap-share back on the field late for clock-killing work.
• No injury designation and a locked-in role at the top of the depth chart; the only real risk is touchdown equity in a committee, which is why he's an RB29-caliber flex rather than a set-and-forget RB2.
• If your alternative is a full-time back in a higher-total game, that's the call that would tip this — otherwise Warren is in the lineup.