Courtland Sutton or DJ Moore: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 4 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Start Moore — the consensus rank and projection edges are too wide to ignore.

DJ Moore is the higher consensus play (WR26 to WR34) and projects 13.0 to Sutton's 10.5. Sutton's edge is snap share, 79% to 57%. The gap is wide.

Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton

WR34DENvs SF

Projected Points

Toss-Up
DJ Moore

DJ Moore

WR26BUFvs NE

Projected Points

Start· medium

Courtland Sutton’s market

REC
O/U 3.5
+109 / -139
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 37.5
-115 / -115
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+210
Anytime Touchdown Props →

DJ Moore’s market

REC
O/U 3.5
-152 / +119
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 49.5
-114 / -110
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+150
Anytime Touchdown Props →
DEN@
SFSun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ETView the game →
NE@
BUFSun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ETView the game →

Why Courtland Sutton

Toss-Up

WR1 and primary outside X receiver. Big-bodied contested-catch threat with red-zone and jump-ball value.

Toss-up — WR34 consensus, projects WR36 this week: SF is the 11th-toughest matchup vs WRs, 18% target share.

  • SF ranks 11 of 32 against WRs (one of the tougher matchups, 3-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 22.0 team points as 2.5-point underdogs.
  • Listed WR-2 on the latest depth chart with a 79% snap share.

Latest on Sutton

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Why DJ Moore

Start· medium

WR1 and primary target. Physical yards-after-catch separator with occasional gadget rushing and trick-play usage.

WR26 with a 22% target share and a 26.3 implied team total; the AC joint sprain is a practice limitation, not a game designation.

  • NE ranks 20 of 32 against WRs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 3-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 26.3 team points as 3.0-point favorites.
  • Listed WR on the latest depth chart with a 57% snap share.

The call

  • Volume carries the case. A 22% target share at a 13.0-point projection (WR26) puts Moore in WR2/flex range in 12-team PPR, above a typical replacement option.
  • Game script helps. His team is a 3-point favorite with a 26.3 implied total, so there should be plenty of scoring chances.
  • The NE matchup is neutral at 20 of 32. It rests on a 3-game sample with 0.25 confidence, so it neither boosts nor sinks him.
  • Risk: the 57% snap share is modest. SI.com (2026-10-01) reports an AC joint sprain and a limited Wednesday practice, though he played 42 snaps against the Chargers and carries no designation. If he picks up a designation or misses Friday practice, this becomes a toss-up.

Latest on Moore

Status

DJ Moore is doubtful to return for the second half of Sunday's game due to a shoulder injury.

Bills WR D.J. Moore doubtful to return after injuring shoulderESPN · Oct 4, 2026
StatusPreviously

DJ Moore is questionable to return to Sunday's Week 4 game against the Patriots due to a shoulder injury.

Bills issue injury update on WR DJ Moore vs. Patriots Week 4buffalobills.com · Oct 4, 2026
StatusPreviously

DJ Moore remains on the injury report with an AC joint sprain; was limited on Wednesday after playing 42 snaps against the Chargers.

SI.com · Oct 1, 2026
Bills mark Keon Coleman, DJ Moore, Ed Oliver as questionable

Bills wide receivers Keon Coleman and DJ Moore and defensive lineman Ed Oliver are questionable to play against the Chargers.

ESPN · Sep 25, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Head-to-head stats

MetricCourtland SuttonDJ Moore
Projected points
Consensus rankWR34WR26
Opponent vs positionSF · 11 of 323-game sampleNE · 20 of 323-game sample
Receptions13 of 3222 of 32
Receiving Yards11 of 329 of 32
Receiving TDs8 of 3224 of 32
Targets14 of 3221 of 32
Anytime TD7 of 3224 of 32
Target share18%22%
Reception share11%20%
Implied total · spread22.0+2.526.3-3.0
Depth chartWR2WR1
Snap share79%57%
Start/Sit record0–0+2 toss-ups0–1+1 toss-up

Recent form

Courtland Sutton — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs LAR
Week 2vs JAX
Week 1vs KC

DJ Moore — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs LAC
Week 2vs DET
Week 1vs HOU

Signal breakdown

  • 10.5 vs 13.0 projected PPR pointsDJ Moore +
  • Rank 34 vs 26DJ Moore +
  • Opponent DvP rank 11 vs 20 (32 = softest)DJ Moore +
  • Implied 22.0 vs 26.3 team pointsDJ Moore +
  • No injury designationseven
  • 79% vs 57% snap shareCourtland Sutton +

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