Ravens D/ST or Saints D/ST: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 4 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Start the Ravens — the lineup-share and projection edges are too wide to ignore.

Ravens D/ST is started in more leagues (started rank 4 to 27) and projects 7.0 to the Saints's 3.2. the Saints's edge is opponent giveaways, 2.3 sacks allowed to 1.7. The gap is wide.

Ravens D/ST

D/STBALvs TEN

Projected Points

Start

Saints D/ST

D/STNOvs ATL

Projected Points

Sit
TEN@
BALSun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ETView the game →
ATL@
NOMon, Oct 5, 8:15 PM ETView the game →

Why Ravens D/ST

Start

Start — the No. 4 defensive matchup this week: 7.0 pts projected vs TEN.

  • TEN's offense gives up 1.7 sacks and 1.0 turnovers a game, below league average.
  • Vegas has TEN at 19.5 points as 8.5-point dogs.
  • Started in 78% of leagues, 4th among defenses, in line with a No. 4 matchup.

Why Saints D/ST

Sit

Sit — a bottom-tier defensive matchup this week (No. 28): 3.2 pts projected vs ATL.

  • ATL's offense gives up 2.3 sacks and 2.7 turnovers a game, well above league average.
  • Vegas has ATL at 21.5 points as 2.5-point dogs.
  • Started in 3% of leagues, 27th among defenses, in line with a No. 28 matchup.

Head-to-head stats

MetricRavens D/STSaints D/ST
Projected points
Projection rankProj.DST4Proj.DST28
Started in78% of leagues3% of leagues
Opponent sacks allowed / game1.72.3
Opponent turnovers / game1.02.7
Opponent implied total19.521.5
Home / awayHomeHome
Start/Sit record—0–1

Recent form

Ravens D/ST — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs DAL
Week 2vs NO
Week 1vs IND

Saints D/ST — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs LV
Week 2vs BAL
Week 1vs DET

Signal breakdown

  • 7.0 vs 3.2 projected PPR pointsRavens D/ST +
  • Started rank 4 vs 27 (78% vs 3% of leagues)Ravens D/ST +
  • 1.7 sacks / 1.0 TO vs 2.3 sacks / 2.7 TO per game allowedSaints D/ST +
  • Opponent implied 19.5 vs 21.5 pointsRavens D/ST +
  • Home vs Homeeven

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