Nick Folk or Will Reichard: Who Should You Start?
Preliminary board2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Verdicts sharpen as practice reports land.
Start Reichard — the consensus rank and projection edges are too wide to ignore.
Will Reichard is the higher consensus play (K12 to K17) and projects 8.4 to Folk's 7.8. No signal favors Folk this week. The gap is comfortable.
Nick Folk
K17ATLvs PIT
7.87.87.8 Projected Points
Sit
Will Reichard
K12MINvs GB
8.48.48.4 Projected Points
Toss-Up
Why Nick Folk
SitVeteran starting K. Steady, accurate kicker with long-distance experience.
Sit — K17 by consensus, projects K22 this week: 1.2 red-zone stalls a game, and 7.8 pts projected vs PIT.
- 2.0 FG tries projected, right at the 2.0 league median this week.
- ATL's offense stalls in the red zone 1.2 times a game (2025) — that's where kicker points come from.
- Vegas has ATL at 19.8 points as 3-point dogs.
- 97% on field goals (2025), with a 50-plus make in 6 games.
Why Will Reichard
Toss-UpStarting placekicker and 2025 First-Team All-Pro. Strong-legged third-year kicker with franchise-record 62-yard make.
Toss-up — K12 by consensus, projects K14 this week: kicks indoors, and 1.3 red-zone stalls a game.
- Kicks indoors — no weather risk.
- 2.1 FG tries projected, just over the 2.0 league median this week.
- MIN's offense stalls in the red zone 1.3 times a game (2025) — that's where kicker points come from.
- Vegas has MIN at 21.5 points as 1.5-point dogs.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Nick Folk | Will Reichard |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 7.87.87.8 | 8.48.48.4 |
| Consensus rank | K17 | K12 |
| Projected FG attempts | 2.0 | 2.1 |
| Red-zone stalls / game | 1.2(2025) | 1.3(2025) |
| Kicking conditions | — | Indoors, no weather risk |
| Implied total · spread | 19.8+3.0 | 21.5+1.5 |
| Field-goal % | 96.6%(2025) | 94.3%(2025) |
| Depth chart | K1 | K1 |
Signal breakdown
- 7.8 vs 8.4 projected PPR pointsWill Reichard +
- Rank 17 vs 12Will Reichard +
- 2.0 vs 2.1 projected attemptsWill Reichard +
- 1.2 vs 1.3 red-zone stalls per gameWill Reichard +
- Kicking weathereven
- Implied 19.8 vs 21.5 team pointsWill Reichard +
- No injury designationseven
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