Mark Andrews or Michael Wilson: Who Should You Start?
Preliminary board2026 Week 2 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Verdicts sharpen as practice reports land.
Start Andrews: Baltimore's scoring environment outweighs Wilson's snap advantage
Start Mark Andrews: the nearly identical raw projections hide a meaningful edge in positional value, consensus standing and Baltimore's scoring environment. Wilson's heavy usage gives him a legitimate volume path, and he led Arizona wideouts in Week 1 snaps while catching five of seven targets (Yahoo Sports/Cards Wire 2026-09-14). Andrews' risk is his lower snap rate, but his TE1 role, red-zone mismatch profile and quarterback rapport fit a Ravens offense expected to score often.
What flips it: A meaningful reduction in Andrews' red-zone role or Baltimore's scoring expectation.
Sources: Yahoo Sports/Cards Wire · Sep 14, 2026
AI editor
Mark Andrews
6.78.410.1 Projected Points
Michael Wilson
6.08.010.0 Projected Points
Mark Andrews’s market
Michael Wilson’s market
Why Mark Andrews
Start· mediumTE1 and red-zone mismatch. Veteran seam-stretcher with strong hands and quarterback rapport.
25% target share and 72% snaps in a 27-point implied offense — Andrews is a top-12 TE role even with a TE15 projection.
- Andrews' red-zone mismatch role makes Baltimore's favorable scoring outlook more valuable than it would be for a pure pocket target.
- The call is firm but not effortless: his lower snap rate leaves him more dependent on efficient high-value touches.
The call
- A 25% target share is elite for the position; Andrews is the clear passing-game focal point at TE with a 72% snap share and no injury designation.
- Baltimore's 27.0 implied total and -7.5 spread point to a high-scoring, red-zone-heavy script, which is exactly where Andrews cashes in on touchdowns.
- The DvP composite of 12 of 32 reads mildly unfavorable, but it's a 1-game sample with 0.00 confidence — not enough to override the usage.
- Risk is the 10.1 projection and TE15 label: if Baltimore builds a lead and leans run, the volume ceiling narrows to a 6-8 point day.
Why Michael Wilson
Toss-UpWR2 and big-bodied outside target. Physical at the catch point with 1,000-yard breakout production and full-season availability.
Toss-up — WR37 consensus, projects WR44 this week: SEA is the 10th-toughest matchup vs WRs, 17.3 implied team total caps the ceiling.
- Wilson's outside-target role and strong catch-point profile give him a real path if Arizona throws more than expected.
- His volume can win this pairing, but the low-scoring team context leaves less room for inefficient targets or stalled drives.
Latest on Wilson
Wilson played a team-high 64 of 85 snaps (75%) among wideouts in Week 1, catching five of seven targets for 56 yards.
Yahoo Sports/Cards Wire · Sep 14, 2026Josh Weinfuss breaks down Michael Wilson's new three-year, $75 million extension with the Cardinals.
The Cardinals have signed wide receiver Michael Wilson to a three-year extension, with sources telling ESPN and NFL Network that the wide receiver's new deal is worth $75 million.
Wide receiver coming off breakout season in Arizona
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Mark Andrews | Michael Wilson |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 6.78.410.1 | 6.08.010.0 |
| Consensus rank | TE15 | WR37 |
| Opponent vs position | NO · 12 of 321-game sample | SEA · 10 of 321-game sample |
| Receptions | 18 of 32 | 20 of 32 |
| Receiving Yards | 17 of 32 | 7 of 32 |
| Receiving TDs | 1 of 32 | 1 of 32 |
| Targets | 24 of 32 | 22 of 32 |
| Anytime TD | 1 of 32 | 1 of 32 |
| Target share | 25% | 19% |
| Reception share | 24% | 19% |
| Implied total · spread | 27.0-7.5 | 17.3+10.0 |
| Depth chart | TE1 | WR2 |
| Snap share | 72% | 85% |
| Start/Sit record | 0–1 | — |
Recent form
Mark Andrews — last 1 week
| Week 1 | vs IND | 4.96.98.9 |
Michael Wilson — last 1 week
| Week 1 | vs LAC | 5.68.110.6 |
Signal breakdown
- 10.1 vs 10.0 projected PPR pointsMark Andrews +
- Rank 15 vs 37Mark Andrews +
- Opponent DvP rank 12 vs 10 (32 = softest)even
- Implied 27.0 vs 17.3 team pointsMark Andrews +
- No injury designationseven
- 72% vs 85% snap shareMichael Wilson +
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