Raiders D/ST or Giants D/ST: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 4 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Start the Giants — the opponent scoring and projection edges are too wide to ignore.

Giants D/ST faces the lower-scoring offense (19.3 implied points to 24.5) and projects 5.9 to the Raiders's 3.7. the Raiders's edge is lineup share, started rank 22 to 24. The gap is comfortable.

Raiders D/ST

D/STLVvs KC

Projected Points

Sit

Giants D/ST

D/STNYGvs ARI

Projected Points

Start· low
KC@
LVSun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ETView the game →
ARI@
NYGSun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ETView the game →

Why Raiders D/ST

Sit

Sit — a bottom-tier defensive matchup this week (No. 26): KC protects the ball (0.5 turnovers a game), and Vegas has them at 24.5 points.

  • KC's offense gives up 1.5 sacks and 0.5 turnovers a game, below league average.
  • Vegas has KC at 24.5 points as 5.5-point favorites.
  • Over-started: 7% of leagues have them in, 22nd among defenses, against a No. 26 matchup.

Why Giants D/ST

Start· low

Home -7.0 favorite facing a 19.3 implied total, but ARI's stingy 0.3 turnovers per game caps the upside of this DST13 projection.

  • ARI's offense gives up 1.7 sacks and 0.3 turnovers a game, below league average.
  • Vegas has ARI at 19.3 points as 7-point dogs.
  • Under-started: only 6% of leagues have them in, 24th among defenses, against a No. 13 matchup.

The call

  • Game script favors the Giants. They are 7-point home favorites and ARI is implied for just 19.3, so the opponent should be chasing the game, which tends to create sack and turnover chances.
  • The projection sits right at the streaming line. At DST13 with 5.9 projected points, this is borderline in a 12-team league, which is why the house start-lean holds only at low confidence.
  • The concrete red flag is ARI's ball security. They allow only 1.7 sacks and 0.3 turnovers per game, so the projected 2.4 sacks and 0.6 interceptions could be optimistic, though that comes from a 3-game sample.
  • Only 6% of leagues start this unit, so it is likely on your wire. Start it over a lower-ranked streamer, but a top-12 defense with a turnover-prone opponent should tip the call away from it.

Head-to-head stats

MetricRaiders D/STGiants D/ST
Projected points
Projection rankProj.DST26Proj.DST13
Started in7% of leagues6% of leagues
Opponent sacks allowed / game1.51.7
Opponent turnovers / game0.50.3
Opponent implied total24.519.3
Home / awayHomeHome
Start/Sit record0–0+2 toss-ups1–0

Recent form

Raiders D/ST — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs NO
Week 2vs LAC
Week 1vs MIA

Giants D/ST — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs TEN
Week 2vs LAR
Week 1vs DAL

Signal breakdown

  • 3.7 vs 5.9 projected PPR pointsGiants D/ST +
  • Started rank 22 vs 24 (7% vs 6% of leagues)Raiders D/ST +
  • 1.5 sacks / 0.5 TO vs 1.7 sacks / 0.3 TO per game allowedRaiders D/ST +
  • Opponent implied 24.5 vs 19.3 pointsGiants D/ST +
  • Home vs Homeeven

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