Jaylen Waddle or Kyle Pitts Sr.: Who Should You Start?
Preliminary board2026 Week 2 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Verdicts sharpen as practice reports land.
Waddle's role is safer, but Pitts' tight-end leverage keeps this even
Waddle offers the steadier role: his WR2 deployment and separation speed give him more ways to win than Pitts currently has. Pitts keeps this level because a TE7 profile and vertical seam ability can swing the call if Atlanta restores his involvement after the Week 1 shutout reported by Steelers.com 2026-09-14. The modest projection gap understates the role difference: Waddle's thin usage is concerning, but Pitts' lower involvement follows a zero-catch game and makes his floor especially fragile. Waddle's risk is a quiet target day; Pitts' upside requires evidence that the offense will make him a priority.
What flips it: A verified increase in Pitts' route and target role.
Sources: Steelers.com · Sep 14, 2026
AI editor

Jaylen Waddle
8.310.512.8 Projected Points

Kyle Pitts Sr.
6.68.811.1 Projected Points
Jaylen Waddle’s market
Kyle Pitts Sr.’s market
Why Jaylen Waddle
Start· mediumStarting WR2 with elite separation speed. Twitchy route runner and vertical threat working opposite the X.
WR21 consensus with a 12.8-point projection and a 78% snap share — every-week starter territory in 12-team PPR despite a mid-tier JAX matchup.
- Elite separation speed gives Waddle a path to splash plays even without dominant volume.
- His starting WR2 role is more established than Pitts' current place in the passing game.
The call
- Consensus WR21 at 12.8 projected PPR points is comfortably above replacement level at the position in a 12-team league.
- Role is locked in: 78% snap share over 16 games in 2025 means he's on the field for essentially the full route tree, and he carries no injury designation.
- The Jacksonville matchup grades 10 of 32 (tougher half) but that composite comes off a single game with 0.00 confidence — not enough signal to bench a starting-caliber WR.
- Only real flag is the 11% target share, but that's a one-game 2026 sample; if it holds for another week or two, his weekly ceiling deserves a re-look.
Latest on Waddle
Jeff Legwold explains how Jaylen Waddle's presence could create more opportunities for the Broncos' other receivers.
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Why Kyle Pitts Sr.
Toss-Up· mediumTE1 and vertical seam threat. Rare size-speed mismatch profile with high-volume target share in the passing game.
TE7 on paper at 11.1 projected, but a 5% target share and a zero-catch Week 1 on one look make Pitts a bet on volume that hasn't shown up.
- Pitts' rare size-speed mismatch preserves slate-breaking upside if his role rebounds.
- The TE7 standing reflects positional scarcity that can outweigh a small raw projection gap.
The call
- The projection (11.1, TE7) and a near-even game — Atlanta -1.5, 23.0 implied total — say playable, but that number is built on reputation more than 2026 usage.
- Role red flag: 63% snap share with just a 5% target share, and Steelers.com noted he was "targeted just once by Cooper Rush and finishing with zero catches" in Week 1.
- Matchup is neutral at best — Carolina grades 13 of 32 vs the position (softest = 32), and that's a 1-game sample with 0.00 confidence, so there's no soft-spot bonus to lean on.
- Tip it to start if he draws early-down and red-zone looks with Rush under center; if you have any top-12 TE with a defined target share, play that instead this week.
Latest on Pitts
Kyle Pitts was shut out entirely in Week 1, targeted just once by Cooper Rush and finishing with zero catches as the Steelers defense effectively limited Atlanta's top two pass-catching options behind Robinson.
Steelers.com · Sep 14, 2026TreVeyon Henderson won't suit up on Wednesday, leaving most of the backfield work for Rhamondre Stevenson.
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Jaylen Waddle | Kyle Pitts Sr. |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 8.310.512.8 | 6.68.811.1 |
| Consensus rank | WR21 | TE7 |
| Opponent vs position | JAX · 10 of 321-game sample | CAR · 13 of 321-game sample |
| Receptions | 4 of 32 | 2 of 32 |
| Receiving Yards | 16 of 32 | 14 of 32 |
| Receiving TDs | 13 of 32 | 21 of 32 |
| Targets | 4 of 32 | 6 of 32 |
| Anytime TD | 13 of 32 | 20 of 32 |
| Target share | 11% | 5% |
| Reception share | 6% | 0% |
| Implied total · spread | 23.0-2.5 | 23.0-1.5 |
| Depth chart | WR1 | TE1 |
| Snap share | 75% | 63% |
| Start/Sit record | — | 0–1+1 toss-up |
Recent form
Jaylen Waddle — last 1 week
| Week 1 | vs KC | 0.20.71.2 |
Kyle Pitts Sr. — last 1 week
| Week 1 | vs PIT | 0.00.00.0 |
Signal breakdown
- 12.8 vs 11.1 projected PPR pointsJaylen Waddle +
- Rank 21 vs 7Kyle Pitts Sr. +
- Opponent DvP rank 10 vs 13 (32 = softest)even
- Implied 23.0 vs 23.0 team pointseven
- No injury designationseven
- 75% vs 63% snap shareJaylen Waddle +
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