Dominic Zvada or Drew Stevens: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 4 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Too close to call — the edges cancel out.

Dominic Zvada and Drew Stevens grade out even this week. Zvada's best edge is red-zone opportunity (1.3 to 1.0 stalls per game), and it isn't enough to separate them. Start whichever player's game you trust more this week.

Dominic Zvada

Dominic Zvada

KNYGvs ARI

Projected Points

Start· medium
Drew Stevens

Drew Stevens

KWSHvs IND

Projected Points

Toss-Up· low
ARI@
NYGSun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ETView the game →
IND@
WSHSun, Oct 4, 9:30 AM ETView the game →

Why Dominic Zvada

Start· medium

Starting PK with big leg and strong college accuracy. Rookie with no prior NFL sample.

8.7 projected points behind a 26.3 implied total as a 7-point favorite, with calm weather and a locked PK1 role, make Zvada a solid K1 play.

  • Calm forecast at kickoff.
  • 2.1 FG tries projected, just over the 2.0 league median this week.
  • NYG's offense stalls in the red zone 1.3 times a game — that's where kicker points come from.
  • Vegas has NYG at 26.3 points as 7-point favorites.

The call

  • Scoring environment is strong: a 26.3 implied team total and -7.0 spread point to steady drives, supporting 2.4 projected extra points on top of 1.8 FG makes on 2.1 attempts.
  • Red-zone stalls of 1.3 per game keep field-goal volume in play, though that rate comes from only 3 games, so the sample is thin.
  • Conditions are clean: a calm forecast with an open roof removes the weather risk that usually separates kickers.
  • Role risk is nil at PK1 with no designation. The main downside is a blowout in which the offense converts every trip into touchdowns and the FG attempts dry up.

Why Drew Stevens

Toss-Up· low

Rookie starting placekicker. Strong leg with no prior NFL kicking sample.

Solid 26.0 implied total and calm weather, but only 1.0 red-zone stalls per game caps FG volume. Borderline K1 who may not beat streamers.

  • Calm forecast at kickoff.
  • 2.0 FG tries projected, right at the 2.0 league median this week.
  • WSH's offense stalls in the red zone 1.0 times a game — that's where kicker points come from.
  • Vegas has WSH at 26 points as 1.5-point favorites.

The call

  • Scoring environment is favorable: a 26.0 implied team total as a 1.5-point favorite supports 2.3 projected extra points and a steady floor.
  • Field-goal volume is the question. His offense has stalled in the red zone only 1.0 time per game over 3 games, so the 1.7 made on 2.0 attempts projection relies on drives stalling short rather than on a proven red-zone trend.
  • No risk flags: calm forecast in an open-roof stadium, locked in as PK1, and no injury designation, so the 8.4-point projection is a clean baseline.
  • What would tip it: start him if your waiver alternatives project below 8.4 or play in bad weather. Sit him for a kicker whose offense generates more red-zone stalls.

Head-to-head stats

MetricDominic ZvadaDrew Stevens
Projected points
Projected FG attempts2.12.0
Red-zone stalls / game1.31.0
Kicking conditionsCalm forecast at kickoffCalm forecast at kickoff
Implied total · spread26.3-7.026.0-1.5
Depth chartK1K1
Start/Sit record0–1+1 toss-up0–0+2 toss-ups

Recent form

Dominic Zvada — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs TEN
Week 2vs LAR
Week 1vs DAL

Drew Stevens — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs SEA
Week 2vs DAL
Week 1vs PHI

Signal breakdown

  • 8.7 vs 8.4 projected PPR pointsDominic Zvada +
  • Consensus position rankeven
  • 2.1 vs 2.0 projected attemptsDominic Zvada +
  • 1.3 vs 1.0 red-zone stalls per gameDominic Zvada +
  • 7 mph, 66°F, overcast vs 6 mph, 64°F, overcasteven
  • Implied 26.3 vs 26.0 team pointsDominic Zvada +
  • No injury designationseven

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