DJ Moore or Juwan Johnson: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 4 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Moore's scoring runway meets Johnson's fuller snap role
Moore gets the stronger scoring environment and his primary-target, yards-after-catch role can turn that into production, but Johnson's heavier involvement and red-zone mismatch keep the advantage narrow. The projection gap is less telling across a WR-versus-TE choice; Johnson's latest spike shows how quickly his role can close it. Moore's AC joint limitation is the sharper risk, though he has no game designation and both remain playable starts.
What flips it: A game-day downgrade for Moore after the AC joint limitation (SI.com 2026-10-01).
Sources: SI.com · Oct 1, 2026
AI editor

DJ Moore
8.710.813.0 Projected Points

Juwan Johnson
6.68.610.6 Projected Points
DJ Moore’s market
Juwan Johnson’s market
Why DJ Moore
Start· mediumWR1 and primary target. Physical yards-after-catch separator with occasional gadget rushing and trick-play usage.
WR26 with a 22% target share and a 26.3 implied team total; the AC joint sprain is a practice limitation, not a game designation.
- Moore's YAC ability and occasional gadget touches give him ways to produce beyond routine downfield targets.
- Buffalo's stronger scoring outlook supports Moore's case as its primary target.
The call
- Volume carries the case. A 22% target share at a 13.0-point projection (WR26) puts Moore in WR2/flex range in 12-team PPR, above a typical replacement option.
- Game script helps. His team is a 3-point favorite with a 26.3 implied total, so there should be plenty of scoring chances.
- The NE matchup is neutral at 20 of 32. It rests on a 3-game sample with 0.25 confidence, so it neither boosts nor sinks him.
- Risk: the 57% snap share is modest. SI.com (2026-10-01) reports an AC joint sprain and a limited Wednesday practice, though he played 42 snaps against the Chargers and carries no designation. If he picks up a designation or misses Friday practice, this becomes a toss-up.
Latest on Moore
DJ Moore remains on the injury report with an AC joint sprain; was limited on Wednesday after playing 42 snaps against the Chargers.
SI.com · Oct 1, 2026Bills wide receivers Keon Coleman and DJ Moore and defensive lineman Ed Oliver are questionable to play against the Chargers.
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Why Juwan Johnson
Start· lowTE1 and high-volume pass-catcher. Big-bodied converted receiver who is a red-zone and intermediate mismatch.
TE16 with a 10.6-point projection, a softer ATL matchup (23 of 32) and a 24.0 team total. A fringe TE1 who is playable as a streamer.
- Johnson's red-zone and intermediate mismatch role gives a streaming tight end a path to outsized scoring.
- His latest result showed a ceiling that can answer Moore's stronger team context.
The call
- Matchup leans favorable: ATL ranks 23 of 32 vs TEs (32 = softest), but it's a 3-game sample at 0.25 confidence, so don't lean on it heavily.
- Role is steady if unspectacular: 66% snap share and 15% target share with no injury designation give him a reliable floor for the position.
- Game script is neutral-to-good. The offense is a 2.5-point favorite with a 24.0 implied total, which supports red-zone chances.
- TE16 sits just outside TE1 range in 12-team leagues. Start him over waiver-level options, but a top-12 TE with a better target share should take precedence.
Latest on Johnson
Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | DJ Moore | Juwan Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 8.710.813.0 | 6.68.610.6 |
| Consensus rank | WR26 | TE16 |
| Opponent vs position | NE · 20 of 323-game sample | ATL · 23 of 323-game sample |
| Receptions | 22 of 32 | 22 of 32 |
| Receiving Yards | 9 of 32 | 18 of 32 |
| Receiving TDs | 24 of 32 | 27 of 32 |
| Targets | 21 of 32 | 24 of 32 |
| Anytime TD | 24 of 32 | 26 of 32 |
| Target share | 22% | 15% |
| Reception share | 20% | 17% |
| Implied total · spread | 26.3-3.0 | 24.0-2.5 |
| Depth chart | WR1 | TE1 |
| Snap share | 57% | 66% |
| Start/Sit record | 0–1+1 toss-up | 0–0+3 toss-ups |
Recent form
DJ Moore — last 3 weeks
| Week 3 | vs LAC | 6.79.712.7 |
| Week 2 | vs DET | -0.1-0.1-0.1 |
| Week 1 | vs HOU | 16.018.521.0 |
Juwan Johnson — last 3 weeks
| Week 3 | vs LV | 15.319.323.3 |
| Week 2 | vs BAL | 6.68.610.6 |
| Week 1 | vs DET | 11.412.914.4 |
Signal breakdown
- 13.0 vs 10.6 projected PPR pointsDJ Moore +
- Rank 26 vs 16Juwan Johnson +
- Opponent DvP rank 20 vs 23 (32 = softest)Juwan Johnson +
- Implied 26.3 vs 24.0 team pointsDJ Moore +
- No injury designationseven
- 57% vs 66% snap shareJuwan Johnson +
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