DJ Moore or Javonte Williams: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 4 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Start Williams — the consensus rank and availability edges are too wide to ignore.

Javonte Williams is the higher consensus play (RB15 to WR26) and is the healthier side of this call (Moore carries a Q tag). Moore's edge is the game script, 26.3 implied points to 22.5. The gap is wide.

DJ Moore

DJ Moore

WR26BUFvs NE

Projected Points

Start· medium
Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams

RB15DALvs HOU

Projected Points

Start

DJ Moore’s market

REC
O/U 3.5
-152 / +119
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 49.5
-114 / -110
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+150
Anytime Touchdown Props →

Javonte Williams’s market

RUSH YDS
O/U 55.5
-135 / +100
Rushing Yards Props →
REC
O/U 2.5
-127 / +100
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 13.5
-109 / -115
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
-130
Anytime Touchdown Props →
NE@
BUFSun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ETView the game →
DAL@
HOUSun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ETView the game →

Why DJ Moore

Start· medium

WR1 and primary target. Physical yards-after-catch separator with occasional gadget rushing and trick-play usage.

WR26 with a 22% target share and a 26.3 implied team total; the AC joint sprain is a practice limitation, not a game designation.

  • NE ranks 20 of 32 against WRs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 3-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 26.3 team points as 3.0-point favorites.
  • Listed WR on the latest depth chart with a 57% snap share.

The call

  • Volume carries the case. A 22% target share at a 13.0-point projection (WR26) puts Moore in WR2/flex range in 12-team PPR, above a typical replacement option.
  • Game script helps. His team is a 3-point favorite with a 26.3 implied total, so there should be plenty of scoring chances.
  • The NE matchup is neutral at 20 of 32. It rests on a 3-game sample with 0.25 confidence, so it neither boosts nor sinks him.
  • Risk: the 57% snap share is modest. SI.com (2026-10-01) reports an AC joint sprain and a limited Wednesday practice, though he played 42 snaps against the Chargers and carries no designation. If he picks up a designation or misses Friday practice, this becomes a toss-up.

Latest on Moore

Status

DJ Moore is doubtful to return for the second half of Sunday's game due to a shoulder injury.

Bills WR D.J. Moore doubtful to return after injuring shoulderESPN · Oct 4, 2026
StatusPreviously

DJ Moore is questionable to return to Sunday's Week 4 game against the Patriots due to a shoulder injury.

Bills issue injury update on WR DJ Moore vs. Patriots Week 4buffalobills.com · Oct 4, 2026
StatusPreviously

DJ Moore remains on the injury report with an AC joint sprain; was limited on Wednesday after playing 42 snaps against the Chargers.

SI.com · Oct 1, 2026
Bills mark Keon Coleman, DJ Moore, Ed Oliver as questionable

Bills wide receivers Keon Coleman and DJ Moore and defensive lineman Ed Oliver are questionable to play against the Chargers.

ESPN · Sep 25, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Why Javonte Williams

Start

RB1 and workhorse lead back. Contact-balance runner with pass-protection reliability and steady receiving usage.

Start — RB15 consensus, projects RB17 this week: 12% target share, 14.6 PPR projected vs HOU.

  • HOU ranks 10 of 32 against RBs (one of the tougher matchups, 4-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 22.5 team points as 2.5-point underdogs.
  • Listed RB on the latest depth chart with a 75% snap share.

Latest on Williams

Javonte Williams, Cowboys find success in run game, now need to 'get back on track'

Javonte Williams and the Cowboys offense were able to finally find a spark in the run game. Still, he knows they need to do more in order to "get back on track"

dallascowboys.com · Sep 27, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Head-to-head stats

MetricDJ MooreJavonte Williams
Projected points
Consensus rankWR26RB15
Opponent vs positionNE · 20 of 323-game sampleHOU · 10 of 324-game sample
Receptions22 of 329 of 32
Receiving Yards9 of 322 of 32
Receiving TDs24 of 32—
Targets21 of 32—
Anytime TD24 of 3212 of 32
Rushing Yards—6 of 32
Rushing TDs—14 of 32
Rushing Attempts—14 of 32
Target share22%12%
Reception share20%14%
Implied total · spread26.3-3.022.5+2.5
Depth chartWR1RB1
Snap share57%75%
Injury designationQ—
Start/Sit record0–1+1 toss-up1–1

Recent form

DJ Moore — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs LAC
Week 2vs DET
Week 1vs HOU

Javonte Williams — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs BAL
Week 2vs WSH
Week 1vs NYG

Signal breakdown

  • 13.0 vs 14.6 projected PPR pointsJavonte Williams +
  • Rank 26 vs 15Javonte Williams +
  • Opponent DvP rank 20 vs 10 (32 = softest)DJ Moore +
  • Implied 26.3 vs 22.5 team pointsDJ Moore +
  • Q vs no designationJavonte Williams +
  • 57% vs 75% snap shareJavonte Williams +

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