Courtland Sutton or Woody Marks: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 4 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Start Sutton — the consensus rank and projection edges are too wide to ignore.

Courtland Sutton is the higher consensus play (WR34 to RB44) and projects 10.5 to Marks's 8.5. Marks's edge is the game script, 25.0 implied points to 22.0. The gap is comfortable.

Courtland Sutton

Courtland Sutton

WR34DENvs SF

Projected Points

Toss-Up
Woody Marks

Woody Marks

RB44HOUvs DAL

Projected Points

Sit

Courtland Sutton’s market

REC
O/U 3.5
+109 / -139
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 37.5
-115 / -115
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+210
Anytime Touchdown Props →

Woody Marks’s market

RUSH YDS
O/U 34.5
-135 / +100
Rushing Yards Props →
REC
O/U 1.5
-140 / +110
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 9.5
-111 / -113
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+205
Anytime Touchdown Props →
DEN@
SFSun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ETView the game →
DAL@
HOUSun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ETView the game →

Why Courtland Sutton

Toss-Up

WR1 and primary outside X receiver. Big-bodied contested-catch threat with red-zone and jump-ball value.

Toss-up — WR34 consensus, projects WR36 this week: SF is the 10th-toughest matchup vs WRs, 18% target share.

  • SF ranks 10 of 32 against WRs (one of the tougher matchups, 4-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 22.0 team points as 2.5-point underdogs.
  • Listed WR-2 on the latest depth chart with a 77% snap share.

Latest on Sutton

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Why Woody Marks

Sit

RB2 behind David Montgomery. Between-the-tackles committee back who carried 196 times for 703 yards as a rookie with light pass-game usage.

Sit — bench-tier RB at consensus RB44: 7% target share, 8.5 PPR projected vs DAL.

  • DAL ranks 17 of 32 against RBs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 4-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 25.0 team points as 2.5-point favorites.
  • Listed RB on the latest depth chart with a 45% snap share.

Latest on Marks

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Head-to-head stats

MetricCourtland SuttonWoody Marks
Projected points
Consensus rankWR34RB44
Opponent vs positionSF · 10 of 324-game sampleDAL · 17 of 324-game sample
Receptions13 of 324 of 32
Receiving Yards7 of 326 of 32
Receiving TDs9 of 32—
Targets14 of 32—
Anytime TD8 of 3226 of 32
Rushing Yards—17 of 32
Rushing TDs—25 of 32
Rushing Attempts—23 of 32
Target share18%7%
Reception share11%8%
Implied total · spread22.0+2.525.0-2.5
Depth chartWR2RB2
Snap share77%45%
Start/Sit record0–0+2 toss-ups—

Recent form

Courtland Sutton — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs LAR
Week 2vs JAX
Week 1vs KC

Woody Marks — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs IND
Week 2vs CIN
Week 1vs BUF

Signal breakdown

  • 10.5 vs 8.5 projected PPR pointsCourtland Sutton +
  • Rank 34 vs 44Courtland Sutton +
  • Opponent DvP rank 10 vs 17 (32 = softest)Woody Marks +
  • Implied 22.0 vs 25.0 team pointsWoody Marks +
  • No injury designationseven
  • 77% vs 45% snap shareCourtland Sutton +

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