Ravens D/ST or Raiders D/ST: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 4 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Start the Ravens — the lineup-share and projection edges are too wide to ignore.

Ravens D/ST is started in more leagues (started rank 4 to 23) and projects 6.7 to the Raiders's 3.7. No signal favors the Raiders this week. The gap is wide.

Ravens D/ST

D/STBALvs TEN

Projected Points

Start

Raiders D/ST

D/STLVvs KC

Projected Points

Sit
TEN@
BALSun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ETView the game →
KC@
LVSun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ETView the game →

Why Ravens D/ST

Start

Start — the No. 4 defensive matchup this week: 6.7 pts projected vs TEN.

  • TEN's offense gives up 1.7 sacks and 1.0 turnovers a game, below league average.
  • Vegas has TEN at 19.5 points as 8.5-point dogs.
  • Started in 80% of leagues, 4th among defenses, in line with a No. 4 matchup.

Why Raiders D/ST

Sit

Sit — a bottom-tier defensive matchup this week (No. 26): KC protects the ball (0.7 turnovers a game), and Vegas has them at 24.5 points.

  • KC's offense gives up 1.3 sacks and 0.7 turnovers a game, below league average.
  • Vegas has KC at 24.5 points as 5.5-point favorites.
  • Over-started: 6% of leagues have them in, 23rd among defenses, against a No. 26 matchup.

Head-to-head stats

MetricRavens D/STRaiders D/ST
Projected points
Projection rankProj.DST4Proj.DST26
Started in80% of leagues6% of leagues
Opponent sacks allowed / game1.71.3
Opponent turnovers / game1.00.7
Opponent implied total19.524.5
Home / awayHomeHome
Start/Sit record—0–0+2 toss-ups

Recent form

Ravens D/ST — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs DAL
Week 2vs NO
Week 1vs IND

Raiders D/ST — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs NO
Week 2vs LAC
Week 1vs MIA

Signal breakdown

  • 6.7 vs 3.7 projected PPR pointsRavens D/ST +
  • Started rank 4 vs 23 (80% vs 6% of leagues)Ravens D/ST +
  • 1.7 sacks / 1.0 TO vs 1.3 sacks / 0.7 TO per game allowedRavens D/ST +
  • Opponent implied 19.5 vs 24.5 pointsRavens D/ST +
  • Home vs Homeeven

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