Andy Borregales or Wil Lutz: Toss-Up — Week 1 Start/Sit Verdict

Too close to call — the edges cancel out.

Andy Borregales and Wil Lutz grade out even this week. Borregales's best edge is red-zone opportunity (1.6 to 1.4 stalls per game), Lutz's best edge is the projection (7.6 to 6.9) — and they cancel out. Start whichever player's game you trust more this week.

Andy Borregales

K19NEvs SEA

6.96.96.9 Projected Points

Sit

Wil Lutz

K20DENvs KC

7.67.67.6 Projected Points

Sit

Why Andy Borregales

Sit

Starting placekicker. Strong-legged kickoff and field-goal specialist.

Sit — K19 by consensus, projects K32 this week: 1.6 red-zone stalls a game, and 6.9 pts projected vs SEA.

1.8 FG tries projected, just under the 2.0 league median this week.
NE's offense stalls in the red zone 1.6 times a game (2025) — that's where kicker points come from.
Vegas has NE at 20.5 points as 3.5-point dogs.
84% on field goals (2025), with a 50-plus make in 4 games.

Why Wil Lutz

Sit

Veteran starting placekicker. Reliable leg with steady FG and PAT production across full-season usage.

Sit — K20 by consensus, projects K24 this week: 1.4 red-zone stalls a game, and 7.6 pts projected vs KC.

1.9 FG tries projected, just under the 2.0 league median this week.
DEN's offense stalls in the red zone 1.4 times a game (2025) — that's where kicker points come from.
Vegas has DEN at 20 points as 2.5-point dogs.
88% on field goals (2025), with a 50-plus make in 4 games.

Head-to-head stats

Metric	Andy Borregales	Wil Lutz
Projected points	6.96.96.9	7.67.67.6
Consensus rank	K19	K20
Projected FG attempts	1.8	1.9
Red-zone stalls / game	1.6(2025)	1.4(2025)
Implied total · spread	20.5+3.5	20.0+2.5
Field-goal %	84.4%(2025)	87.5%(2025)
Depth chart	K1	K1