Andy Borregales or Cairo Santos: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 2 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Start Santos — the consensus rank and projection edges are too wide to ignore.

Cairo Santos is the higher consensus play (K11 to K20) and projects 9.1 to Borregales's 7.7. Borregales's edge is the weather, 4 mph wind, overcast to 12 mph wind, drizzle. The gap is narrow.

Andy Borregales

Andy Borregales

K20NEvs PIT

Projected Points

Sit
Cairo Santos

Cairo Santos

K11CHIvs MIN

Projected Points

Start· medium
PIT@
NESun, Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETView the game →
MIN@
CHISun, Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETView the game →

Why Andy Borregales

Sit

Starting K with strong leg. Accurate placekicker handling all field-goal duties.

Sit — K20 by consensus, projects K27 this week: 1.6 red-zone stalls a game, and 7.7 pts projected vs PIT.

  • Calm forecast at kickoff.
  • 1.8 FG tries projected, just under the 2.0 league median this week.
  • NE's offense stalls in the red zone 1.6 times a game (2025) — that's where kicker points come from.
  • Vegas has NE at 24 points as 4.5-point favorites.

Why Cairo Santos

Start· medium

Veteran starting K. Accurate mid-range leg with long tenure as the team's kicker.

K11 with a 24.5 implied total and 1.4 red-zone stalls per game; rain and 12 mph wind are the only real drag on a 9.1-point floor.

  • 12 mph wind and rain at kickoff — a real drag on long tries.
  • 2.1 FG tries projected, just over the 2.0 league median this week.
  • CHI's offense stalls in the red zone 1.4 times a game (2025) — that's where kicker points come from.
  • Vegas has CHI at 24.5 points as 3.5-point favorites.

The call

  • Volume is there: 2.1 projected attempts plus 2.8 extra points off a 24.5 implied team total, and the offense stalls in the red zone 1.4 times per game — that's exactly how kickers get to double digits.
  • Locked-in PK1 with no injury designation and an 83% clip (25/30) with a 54-yard long and three 50-plus makes, so range isn't a limiting factor.
  • Rain and 12 mph wind in an open-roof stadium is the one downgrade — it shaves the deep tries and puts the ceiling in play, but doesn't gut a 9.1-point projection.
  • K11 on the consensus board is a starter in a 12-team league; only a sizable wind escalation at kickoff would push this toward streaming an indoor alternative.

Head-to-head stats

MetricAndy BorregalesCairo Santos
Projected points
Consensus rankK20K11
Projected FG attempts1.82.1
Red-zone stalls / game1.6(2025)1.4(2025)
Kicking conditionsCalm forecast at kickoff12 mph wind and rain forecast at kickoff
Implied total · spread24.0-4.524.5-3.5
Field-goal %84.4%(2025)83.3%(2025)
Depth chartK1K1
Start/Sit record—0–0+1 toss-up

Recent form

Andy Borregales — last 1 week

Week 1vs SEA

Cairo Santos — last 1 week

Week 1vs CAR

Signal breakdown

  • 7.7 vs 9.1 projected PPR pointsCairo Santos +
  • Rank 20 vs 11Cairo Santos +
  • 1.8 vs 2.1 projected attemptsCairo Santos +
  • 1.6 vs 1.4 red-zone stalls per gameAndy Borregales +
  • 4 mph, 57°F, overcast vs 12 mph, 66°F, drizzleAndy Borregales +
  • Implied 24.0 vs 24.5 team pointsCairo Santos +
  • No injury designationseven

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