Tucker Kraft or Woody Marks: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 4 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Kraft's every-down role edges out Marks' committee workload

Their projected scoring is essentially level, so Kraft's advantage comes from a stronger standing at tight end and a much steadier role. PFF's Week 3 note backs up that he was rarely off the field, supporting the TE1 profile behind his start (PFF 2026-09-26). Marks has a slightly better team scoring outlook and a more encouraging recent run, but his RB2 role and light pass-game use leave him with less dependable volume.

What flips it: A meaningful snap reduction for Kraft would erase the role edge that decides this call.

Sources: PFF · Sep 26, 2026

AI editor

Tucker Kraft

Tucker Kraft

TE9GBvs TB

Projected Points

Start· medium
Woody Marks

Woody Marks

RB44HOUvs DAL

Projected Points

Sit

Tucker Kraft’s market

REC
O/U 3.5
-157 / +123
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 40.5
-111 / -113
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+260
Anytime Touchdown Props →

Woody Marks’s market

RUSH YDS
O/U 34.5
-135 / +100
Rushing Yards Props →
REC
O/U 1.5
-140 / +110
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 9.5
-111 / -113
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+205
Anytime Touchdown Props →
GB@
TBSun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ETView the game →
DAL@
HOUSun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ETView the game →

Why Tucker Kraft

Start· medium

TE1 and primary seam threat. Physical yards-after-catch producer and capable in-line blocker; returning from injury.

Consensus TE9 with an 80% snap share and no snap count per PFF. A top-12 TE role is a start in 12-team leagues despite a neutral matchup.

  • PFF's Week 3 report supports Kraft's full-time role rather than an early-season snap cap.
  • As Green Bay's primary seam threat, he has a clear receiving role even in a merely neutral matchup.

The call

  • Role is locked in. Kraft has an 80% snap share over 3 games, and PFF reported he 'rarely left the field in Week 3' despite early snap-count talk. For a tight end, that is every-down usage.
  • Consensus TE9 at 8.9 projected PPR points puts him inside the starting tier at a thin position. A typical replacement option on waivers projects lower.
  • The TB matchup is neutral at 19 of 32 on a 3-game sample with 0.25 confidence, so it doesn't push either way. A 24.5 implied team total and -1.5 spread point to a competitive, scoring-friendly script.
  • The main risk is a modest 14% target share, which caps his floor. I'm breaking from the house toss-up lean because full-time snaps plus a TE9 rank clear the bar. He is still a start rather than a lock.

Latest on Kraft

Role

Tucker Kraft rarely left the field in Week 3 despite suggestions he could be on a snap count early in the season.

PFF · Sep 26, 2026
How to bet Falcons-Packers on TNF: Analysis, tips and top plays

Odds, bets and analysis to help you bet Falcons-Packers on "Thursday Night Football."

ESPN · Sep 24, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Why Woody Marks

Sit

RB2 behind David Montgomery. Between-the-tackles committee back who carried 196 times for 703 yards as a rookie with light pass-game usage.

Sit — bench-tier RB at consensus RB44: 7% target share, 8.5 PPR projected vs DAL.

  • Marks has scored more consistently in recent weeks, giving him a credible floor case if his committee work holds.
  • Houston's slightly stronger scoring outlook could help a between-the-tackles back get useful carries.

Head-to-head stats

MetricTucker KraftWoody Marks
Projected points
Consensus rankTE9RB44
Opponent vs positionTB · 19 of 323-game sampleDAL · 21 of 323-game sample
Receptions19 of 329 of 32
Receiving Yards22 of 328 of 32
Receiving TDs17 of 32—
Targets18 of 32—
Anytime TD17 of 3225 of 32
Rushing Yards—28 of 32
Rushing TDs—25 of 32
Rushing Attempts—29 of 32
Target share14%7%
Reception share14%10%
Implied total · spread24.5-1.525.0-2.5
Depth chartTE1RB2
Snap share80%45%
Start/Sit record0–3—

Recent form

Tucker Kraft — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs ATL
Week 2vs NYJ
Week 1vs MIN

Woody Marks — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs IND
Week 2vs CIN
Week 1vs BUF

Signal breakdown

  • 8.9 vs 8.5 projected PPR pointsTucker Kraft +
  • Rank 9 vs 44Tucker Kraft +
  • Opponent DvP rank 19 vs 21 (32 = softest)Woody Marks +
  • Implied 24.5 vs 25.0 team pointsWoody Marks +
  • No injury designationseven
  • 80% vs 45% snap shareTucker Kraft +

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