T.J. Hockenson or Woody Marks: Who Should You Start?

2026 Week 4 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Start Hockenson — the consensus rank and snap share edges are too wide to ignore.

T.J. Hockenson is the higher consensus play (TE18 to RB44) and plays a 73% snap share to Marks's 45%. Marks's edge is the matchup, 21 of 32 to 17. The gap is comfortable.

T.J. Hockenson

T.J. Hockenson

TE18MINvs MIA

Projected Points

Start
Woody Marks

Woody Marks

RB44HOUvs DAL

Projected Points

Sit

T.J. Hockenson’s market

REC
O/U 4.5
+106 / -136
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 37.5
-120 / -111
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+170
Anytime Touchdown Props →

Woody Marks’s market

RUSH YDS
O/U 34.5
-135 / +100
Rushing Yards Props →
REC
O/U 1.5
-140 / +110
Receptions Props →
REC YDS
O/U 9.5
-111 / -113
Receiving Yards Props →
ATD
Anytime TD
+205
Anytime Touchdown Props →
MIA@
MINSun, Oct 4, 4:05 PM ETView the game →
DAL@
HOUSun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ETView the game →

Why T.J. Hockenson

Start

TE1 and primary middle-of-field target. Route-savvy seam threat with high-volume usage when healthy.

Start — TE18 consensus, projects TE14 this week: 25.5 implied team total, 26% target share.

  • MIA ranks 17 of 32 against TEs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 3-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 25.5 team points as 7.5-point favorites.
  • Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 73% snap share.

Latest on Hockenson

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Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Why Woody Marks

Sit

RB2 behind David Montgomery. Between-the-tackles committee back who carried 196 times for 703 yards as a rookie with light pass-game usage.

Sit — bench-tier RB at consensus RB44: 7% target share, 8.5 PPR projected vs DAL.

  • DAL ranks 21 of 32 against RBs (a middle-of-the-road matchup, 3-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 25.0 team points as 2.5-point favorites.
  • Listed RB on the latest depth chart with a 45% snap share.

Latest on Marks

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Head-to-head stats

MetricT.J. HockensonWoody Marks
Projected points
Consensus rankTE18RB44
Opponent vs positionMIA · 17 of 323-game sampleDAL · 21 of 323-game sample
Receptions16 of 329 of 32
Receiving Yards28 of 328 of 32
Receiving TDs17 of 32—
Targets6 of 32—
Anytime TD17 of 3225 of 32
Rushing Yards—28 of 32
Rushing TDs—25 of 32
Rushing Attempts—29 of 32
Target share26%7%
Reception share32%8%
Implied total · spread25.5-7.525.0-2.5
Depth chartTE1RB2
Snap share73%45%
Start/Sit record1–0—

Recent form

T.J. Hockenson — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs TB
Week 2vs CHI
Week 1vs GB

Woody Marks — last 3 weeks

Week 3vs IND
Week 2vs CIN
Week 1vs BUF

Signal breakdown

  • 9.0 vs 8.5 projected PPR pointsT.J. Hockenson +
  • Rank 18 vs 44T.J. Hockenson +
  • Opponent DvP rank 17 vs 21 (32 = softest)Woody Marks +
  • Implied 25.5 vs 25.0 team pointsT.J. Hockenson +
  • No injury designationseven
  • 73% vs 45% snap shareT.J. Hockenson +

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