Matt Gay or Spencer Shrader: Who Should You Start?

Same job, same range: Gay and Shrader split the finer points evenly

Both kickers sit at PK1 for offenses expected to score in the low-20s, and the gaps between them cancel out rather than stack. Gay's team stalls red-zone drives less often, which matters more for his own volume than Shrader's slightly higher implied total does for his. Shrader's red-hot accuracy this year comes on a much smaller sample than Gay's, so treat that gap as noise rather than a real separator. The only unresolved variable is Indianapolis's retractable roof with no forecast locked yet, which could tip Shrader's outdoor exposure risk.

What flips it: A wind or rain call that closes Indianapolis's retractable roof late in the week would tilt this toward Gay.

AI editor

Head-to-head stats

Signal breakdown

• 8.1 vs 8.2 projected PPR pointsSpencer Shrader +
• Rank 19 vs 18Spencer Shrader +
• 2.1 vs 2.1 projected attemptseven
• 1.2 vs 1.4 red-zone stalls per gameSpencer Shrader +
• Kicking weathereven
• Implied 22.3 vs 23.0 team pointsSpencer Shrader +
• No injury designationseven

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Week 1244 players

ALLRBWRTEQBKD/STFLEX

Player A

K · Matt Gay

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Player B

K · Spencer Shrader

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