Matt Gay or Wil Lutz: Who Should You Start?

Gay and Lutz split the difference: better script for Gay, better accuracy for Lutz

Vegas likes the Raiders' offense a shade more than Denver's, and that gap matters for a kicker whose points come from field goals and extra points, not one from red-zone drives. Gay's dome eliminates any wind or snow variable that could shrink Lutz's attempt count in Denver, where the forecast is still unsettled. Lutz has been the more accurate leg all season and gets one more red-zone trip per game than Gay does, which normally offsets a modest scoring gap. But Denver's own board treats Lutz as a sit this week given the tougher matchup context, while Gay stays in true toss-up territory — so if you need a lean, take the steadier environment.

What flips it: An unfavorable Denver forecast report closer to kickoff would tilt this further toward Gay.

AI editor

Head-to-head stats

Signal breakdown

• 8.1 vs 7.6 projected PPR pointsMatt Gay +
• Rank 19 vs 20Matt Gay +
• 2.1 vs 1.9 projected attemptsMatt Gay +
• 1.2 vs 1.4 red-zone stalls per gameWil Lutz +
• Kicking weathereven
• Implied 22.3 vs 20.0 team pointsMatt Gay +
• No injury designationseven

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Week 1244 players

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Player A

K · Matt Gay

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Player B

K · Wil Lutz

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